Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Mike Bongino          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5188675    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Smithtown East         NY B  Sec 11  (14- 3, 88.1)     7-13   
 406 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (23- 0, 99.4)     3-17   
 407 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.1)     7- 4   
 411 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 57.5)    19- 4   
 415 H Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 83.8)     6- 7   
 419 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 75.4)     9-10   
 421 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 66.3)     5- 4   
 425 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 84.6)     4- 9   
 427 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.2)     3- 6   
 501 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 70.0)     6- 5   
 503 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 91.0)     5-14   
 505 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 6, 79.4)     7- 6   
 509 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 86.6)     5-10   
 511 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 68.0)     8- 5   
 515 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 79.1)     4- 9   
 517 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 78.6)     5- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Smithtown East          7-13      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   406 A West Islip              3-17     -14   -23           0.00
   407 H Riverhead               7- 4       3     2           0.10
   411 A Brentwood              19- 4      15    18           0.00
   415 H Half Hollow Hills West  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.86
   419 A Middle Country          9-10      -1     0          -1.88
   421 H Copiague                5- 4       1    10    ---   -9.00
   425 A East Islip              4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.32
   427 H West Babylon            3- 6      -3    -3           0.27
   501 H Bellport                6- 5       1     6    --    -5.96
   503 H Northport               5-14      -9   -14           1.00
   505 H Patchogue-Medford       7- 6       1    -2    +      3.41
   509 A Smithtown West          5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   511 A Deer Park               8- 5       3     8    --    -5.29
   515 H Bay Shore               4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.86
   517 A North Babylon           5- 4       1    -2    +      3.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Copiague                5- 4       1    10    ---   -9.00
   501 H Bellport                6- 5       1     6    --    -5.96
   511 A Deer Park               8- 5       3     8    --    -5.29
   515 H Bay Shore               4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Smithtown East          7-13      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   415 H Half Hollow Hills West  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.86
   509 A Smithtown West          5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   425 A East Islip              4- 9      -5    -8    +      3.32
   505 H Patchogue-Medford       7- 6       1    -2    +      3.41
   517 A North Babylon           5- 4       1    -2    +      3.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.65 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.98 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/