Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Hornets              Coach  =   Chris Arnold          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.5386963    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Rye Country Day        NE 2  FAA     ( 9- 5, 87.5)     3-14   
 405 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (11- 8, 90.3)    14-11   
 407 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 0-14, 78.2)     9- 6   
 411 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (18- 4, 98.5)     6-15   
 419 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (17- 3, 99.6)     2-15   
 421 H Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     ( 6-10, 85.2)    10- 8   
 424 H Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 4-12, 81.9)     9- 3   
 426 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     (13- 5, 99.2)     7-13   
 428 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (11- 8, 90.3)     4- 8   
 501 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     (13- 5, 99.2)     3-16   
 503 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 0-14, 78.2)    11- 7   
 505 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (18- 4, 98.5)    13-17   
 508 A St Luke's              NE 2  FAA     (11- 7, 85.8)     3- 7   
 510 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (17- 3, 99.6)     5-13   
 512 A Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     ( 6-10, 85.2)    11- 7   
 515 A Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 4-12, 81.9)     8- 7   
 518 A Portledge              NY    MLA     ( 5- 9, 79.9)     6- 3   
 520 A Iona Prep              NY    Cathlc  (12- 9, 86.2)    11- 6   
 522 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (17- 3, 99.6)     7-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Rye Country Day         3-14     -11     0          n/a  
   405 H Horace Mann            14-11       3    -1    ++     4.36
   407 H Dalton                  9- 6       3    10    ---   -7.00
   411 A Poly Prep               6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   419 H Fieldston               2-15     -13   -10           0.00
   421 H Riverdale Cou Day      10- 8       2     3          -1.71
   424 H Collegiate              9- 3       6     7          -1.07
   426 A Trinity School          7-13      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   428 A Horace Mann             4- 8      -4    -3          -0.14
   501 H Trinity School          3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   503 A Dalton                 11- 7       4     8    --    -4.27
   505 H Poly Prep              13-17      -4    -9    ++     5.51
   508 A St Luke's               3- 7      -4     1          n/a  
   510 A Fieldston               5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   512 A Riverdale Cou Day      11- 7       4     1    +      2.78
   515 A Collegiate              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.58
   518 A Portledge               6- 3       3     6    -     -3.54
   520 A Iona Prep              11- 6       5     0    ++     4.78
   522 A Fieldston               7-12      -5   -13    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Rye Country Day         3-14     -11     0    ---        
   407 H Dalton                  9- 6       3    10    ---   -7.00
   503 A Dalton                 11- 7       4     8    --    -4.27
   508 A St Luke's               3- 7      -4     1    --         
   515 A Collegiate              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.58
   518 A Portledge               6- 3       3     6    -     -3.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Horace Mann            14-11       3    -1    ++     4.36
   426 A Trinity School          7-13      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   505 H Poly Prep              13-17      -4    -9    ++     5.51
   520 A Iona Prep              11- 6       5     0    ++     4.78
   522 A Fieldston               7-12      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   510 A Fieldston               5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   512 A Riverdale Cou Day      11- 7       4     1    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.70 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.37 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/