Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Dan Phillips          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.7262573    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     ( 0-13, 74.7)    18- 4   
 321 A Whitman                MD 43 West    (12- 5, 88.2)     8- 5   
 324 H St Vincent Pallotti    MD B  MIAA    (15- 3, 99.9)    14- 9   
 328 H Loudoun Valley         VA    Dulles  (13- 4, 99.5)    15- 8   
 330 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11- 7, 94.8)     6-11   
 401 H The Heights            MD    MILL    (13- 5, 90.2)    17- 7   
 404 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 7-12, 86.3)    10- 8   
 410 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 7- 8, 84.1)    16- 2   
 412 A Archbishop Carroll     DC    WCAC    ( 0-14, 66.9)    12- 1   
 415 N Dulaney                MD 43 South   (16- 4, 99.9)     6-14   
 415 N Glenelg Country        MD B  MIAA    ( 6-12, 86.5)    15- 5   
 421 H Hewlett                NY B  Sec 8   (14- 4, 88.1)     6- 3   
 424 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    ( 3-13, 80.5)    11- 3   
 428 H Calverton              MD    MILL    (11- 6, 93.5)     9- 5   
 502 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    ( 2-11, 79.7)    16- 9   
 504 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (11- 7, 93.6)    10- 6   
 506 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (16- 3, 99.9)     6- 8   
 513 N Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 7- 8, 84.1)    12- 1   
 515 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11- 7, 94.8)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A St Andrews Episcopal   18- 4      14    21           0.00
   321 A Whitman                 8- 5       3     8          n/a  
   324 H St Vincent Pallotti    14- 9       5    -2          n/a  
   328 H Loudoun Valley         15- 8       7    -1          n/a  
   330 A DeMatha                 6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.06
   401 H The Heights            17- 7      10     8           1.92
   404 H Bishop O'Connell       10- 8       2    11    ---   -8.00
   410 H Bishop Ireton          16- 2      14    14           0.00
   412 A Archbishop Carroll     12- 1      11    28           0.00
   415 N Dulaney                 6-14      -8    -2          n/a  
   415 N Glenelg Country        15- 5      10    10          n/a  
   421 H Hewlett                 6- 3       3     9          n/a  
   424 A Paul VI                11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   428 H Calverton               9- 5       4     4          -0.77
   502 A St Johns DC            16- 9       7    16    -     -3.00
   504 H Gonzaga                10- 6       4     4          -0.68
   506 H St Marys Ryken          6- 8      -2    -1          -0.41
   513 N Bishop Ireton          12- 1      11    12           0.00
   515 A DeMatha                 7-10      -3     1    --    -4.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A DeMatha                 6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.06
   404 H Bishop O'Connell       10- 8       2    11    ---   -8.00
   421 H Hewlett                 6- 3       3     9    ---        
   321 A Whitman                 8- 5       3     8    --         
   415 N Dulaney                 6-14      -8    -2    --         
   515 A DeMatha                 7-10      -3     1    --    -4.06
   424 A Paul VI                11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   502 A St Johns DC            16- 9       7    16    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H St Vincent Pallotti    14- 9       5    -2    +++        
   328 H Loudoun Valley         15- 8       7    -1    +++        
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.11 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.49 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/