Region = NY A Sec 6 Nickname = Y Falcons Coach = Terry OstranderGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.6854553 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 403 A Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (11-10, 88.9) 15-11 406 H Sweet Home NY B Sec 6 ( 7-10, 84.4) 11- 5 410 H West Seneca East NY B Sec 6 ( 4-15, 78.8) 16- 6 412 H Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (21- 2, 99.9) 10-11 418 A Hicksville NY A Sec 8 (13- 5, 88.7) 2-11 421 A Shenendehowa NY A Sec 2 ( 9-10, 89.5) 8- 9 425 A Williamsville North NY A Sec 6 (11- 7, 90.0) 6- 5 427 A Orchard Park NY A Sec 6 (21- 2, 99.9) 3-15 428 A Iroquois NY B Sec 6 ( 8- 9, 85.7) 17- 4 501 H North Tonawanda NY A Sec 6 ( 0-14, 65.2) 15- 1 503 H Niagara Wheatfield NY A Sec 6 (17- 3, 97.3) 6-14 505 H Jamestown NY A Sec 6 ( 3-15, 70.7) 22- 1 509 H Clarence NY A Sec 6 (11- 8, 85.9) 18- 2 511 A Lancaster NY A Sec 6 ( 5-11, 82.0) 14- 4 512 H Williamsville South NY B Sec 6 ( 2-14, 78.9) 14- 2 515 A West Seneca West NY A Sec 6 ( 8-10, 85.1) 14- 7 517 H Lockport NY A Sec 6 ( 3-12, 72.1) 17- 1 518 H Williamsville East NY B Sec 6 (10- 9, 86.0) 15- 5 526 H Clarence NY A Sec 6 (11- 8, 85.9) 15- 6 530 A Niagara Wheatfield NY A Sec 6 (17- 3, 97.3) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Hamburg 15-11 4 3 0.39 406 H Sweet Home 11- 5 6 10 -- -4.00 410 H West Seneca East 16- 6 10 15 0.00 412 H Orchard Park 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.40 418 A Hicksville 2-11 -9 4 n/a 421 A Shenendehowa 8- 9 -1 3 n/a 425 A Williamsville North 6- 5 1 2 -1.54 427 A Orchard Park 3-15 -12 -7 - -2.60 428 A Iroquois 17- 4 13 6 + 3.24 501 H North Tonawanda 15- 1 14 29 0.00 503 H Niagara Wheatfield 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.16 505 H Jamestown 22- 1 21 23 0.00 509 H Clarence 18- 2 16 8 1.43 511 A Lancaster 14- 4 10 10 0.00 512 H Williamsville South 14- 2 12 15 0.00 515 A West Seneca West 14- 7 7 7 -0.39 517 H Lockport 17- 1 16 22 0.00 518 H Williamsville East 15- 5 10 8 1.49 526 H Clarence 15- 6 9 8 0.43 530 A Niagara Wheatfield 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.84UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Hicksville 2-11 -9 4 --- 406 H Sweet Home 11- 5 6 10 -- -4.00 421 A Shenendehowa 8- 9 -1 3 -- 503 H Niagara Wheatfield 6-14 -8 -2 -- -5.16 427 A Orchard Park 3-15 -12 -7 - -2.60OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Orchard Park 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.40 428 A Iroquois 17- 4 13 6 + 3.24 530 A Niagara Wheatfield 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.84/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.50 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 69.26 Local SOS Rank............. 17 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 8.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0