Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Terry Ostrander       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6854553    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11-10, 88.9)    15-11   
 406 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 84.4)    11- 5   
 410 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-15, 78.8)    16- 6   
 412 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)    10-11   
 418 A Hicksville             NY A  Sec 8   (13- 5, 88.7)     2-11   
 421 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 9-10, 89.5)     8- 9   
 425 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.0)     6- 5   
 427 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     3-15   
 428 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 85.7)    17- 4   
 501 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-14, 65.2)    15- 1   
 503 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (17- 3, 97.3)     6-14   
 505 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 70.7)    22- 1   
 509 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 85.9)    18- 2   
 511 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 82.0)    14- 4   
 512 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 78.9)    14- 2   
 515 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 85.1)    14- 7   
 517 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 72.1)    17- 1   
 518 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (10- 9, 86.0)    15- 5   
 526 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 85.9)    15- 6   
 530 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (17- 3, 97.3)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Hamburg                15-11       4     3           0.39
   406 H Sweet Home             11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   410 H West Seneca East       16- 6      10    15           0.00
   412 H Orchard Park           10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.40
   418 A Hicksville              2-11      -9     4          n/a  
   421 A Shenendehowa            8- 9      -1     3          n/a  
   425 A Williamsville North     6- 5       1     2          -1.54
   427 A Orchard Park            3-15     -12    -7    -     -2.60
   428 A Iroquois               17- 4      13     6    +      3.24
   501 H North Tonawanda        15- 1      14    29           0.00
   503 H Niagara Wheatfield      6-14      -8    -2    --    -5.16
   505 H Jamestown              22- 1      21    23           0.00
   509 H Clarence               18- 2      16     8           1.43
   511 A Lancaster              14- 4      10    10           0.00
   512 H Williamsville South    14- 2      12    15           0.00
   515 A West Seneca West       14- 7       7     7          -0.39
   517 H Lockport               17- 1      16    22           0.00
   518 H Williamsville East     15- 5      10     8           1.49
   526 H Clarence               15- 6       9     8           0.43
   530 A Niagara Wheatfield     10-11      -1    -4    +      3.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Hicksville              2-11      -9     4    ---        
   406 H Sweet Home             11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   421 A Shenendehowa            8- 9      -1     3    --         
   503 H Niagara Wheatfield      6-14      -8    -2    --    -5.16
   427 A Orchard Park            3-15     -12    -7    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Orchard Park           10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.40
   428 A Iroquois               17- 4      13     6    +      3.24
   530 A Niagara Wheatfield     10-11      -1    -4    +      3.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.50 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.26 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/