Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-IV Nickname = J Patriots Coach = Steve GibbGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.1247864 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Marlboro NJ Grp-IV ( 5-12, 65.8) 6- 4 404 H St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-B ( 9-11, 76.5) 5- 6 406 A Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-B ( 7-11, 72.5) 11- 3 407 A Colt's Neck NJ Grp-III ( 5- 9, 74.6) 6- 4 410 A Toms River East NJ Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0) 2- 7 411 H Howell NJ Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4) 8- 9 415 H Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-A ( 6-10, 70.6) 8- 5 417 A Christian Bros NJ Grp-A (13- 6, 89.8) 4-13 419 A Red Bank Regional NJ Grp-II (10-11, 69.0) 16- 3 421 A Toms River South NJ Grp-III ( 8-10, 74.1) 10- 3 425 H Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (16- 3, 87.0) 2-13 427 A Manasquan NJ Grp-I (11- 8, 81.2) 7-13 428 A Brick Township NJ Grp-III ( 4-10, 62.9) 12- 0 501 H Toms River North NJ Grp-IV (11- 7, 78.6) 5- 6 503 A Brick Memorial NJ Grp-IV ( 0-15, 57.3) 12- 2 506 A Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV (14- 6, 80.2) 6-10 509 H Jackson Memorial NJ Grp-IV (10- 7, 77.5) 7- 6 512 A St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-B ( 9-11, 76.5) 8- 6 513 H St John Vianney NJ Grp-A ( 7- 8, 70.5) 12- 7 515 A Christian Bros NJ Grp-A (13- 6, 89.8) 1-12 524 A Hunterdon Central NJ Grp-IV (15- 8, 90.1) 3-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Marlboro 6- 4 2 11 --- -8.00 404 H St Rose Belmar 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.11 406 A Red Bank Catholic 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.44 407 A Colt's Neck 6- 4 2 1 0.49 410 A Toms River East 2- 7 -5 3 --- -8.07 411 H Howell 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.72 415 H Monsignor Donovan 8- 5 3 6 - -3.99 417 A Christian Bros 4-13 -9 -13 1.00 419 A Red Bank Regional 16- 3 13 7 + 2.89 421 A Toms River South 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.08 425 H Rumson-Fair Haven 2-13 -11 -9 -0.62 427 A Manasquan 7-13 -6 -5 -0.87 428 A Brick Township 12- 0 12 13 0.00 501 H Toms River North 5- 6 -1 0 -0.02 503 A Brick Memorial 12- 2 10 18 0.00 506 A Southern Regional 6-10 -4 -4 0.12 509 H Jackson Memorial 7- 6 1 0 0.84 512 A St Rose Belmar 8- 6 2 0 + 2.46 513 H St John Vianney 12- 7 5 7 - -2.18 515 A Christian Bros 1-12 -11 -13 0.00 524 A Hunterdon Central 3-14 -11 -13 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Marlboro 6- 4 2 11 --- -8.00 410 A Toms River East 2- 7 -5 3 --- -8.07 404 H St Rose Belmar 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.11 415 H Monsignor Donovan 8- 5 3 6 - -3.99 513 H St John Vianney 12- 7 5 7 - -2.18OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Red Bank Catholic 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.44 421 A Toms River South 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.08 411 H Howell 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.72 419 A Red Bank Regional 16- 3 13 7 + 2.89 512 A St Rose Belmar 8- 6 2 0 + 2.46/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.85 Local Power Rank........... 80 Local SOS Rating......... 51.77 Local SOS Rank............. 101 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 66 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 49 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 82 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7