Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-IV           
   Nickname = J Patriots             Coach  =   Steve Gibb            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.1247864    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-12, 65.8)     6- 4   
 404 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-11, 76.5)     5- 6   
 406 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-11, 72.5)    11- 3   
 407 A Colt's Neck            NJ    Grp-III ( 5- 9, 74.6)     6- 4   
 410 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 7-11, 73.0)     2- 7   
 411 H Howell                 NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 81.4)     8- 9   
 415 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 6-10, 70.6)     8- 5   
 417 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 89.8)     4-13   
 419 A Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (10-11, 69.0)    16- 3   
 421 A Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III ( 8-10, 74.1)    10- 3   
 425 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (16- 3, 87.0)     2-13   
 427 A Manasquan              NJ    Grp-I   (11- 8, 81.2)     7-13   
 428 A Brick Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 4-10, 62.9)    12- 0   
 501 H Toms River North       NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 7, 78.6)     5- 6   
 503 A Brick Memorial         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 0-15, 57.3)    12- 2   
 506 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  (14- 6, 80.2)     6-10   
 509 H Jackson Memorial       NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 7, 77.5)     7- 6   
 512 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-11, 76.5)     8- 6   
 513 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7- 8, 70.5)    12- 7   
 515 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 89.8)     1-12   
 524 A Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 8, 90.1)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Marlboro                6- 4       2    11    ---   -8.00
   404 H St Rose Belmar          5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.11
   406 A Red Bank Catholic      11- 3       8     3    ++     4.44
   407 A Colt's Neck             6- 4       2     1           0.49
   410 A Toms River East         2- 7      -5     3    ---   -8.07
   411 H Howell                  8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.72
   415 H Monsignor Donovan       8- 5       3     6    -     -3.99
   417 A Christian Bros          4-13      -9   -13           1.00
   419 A Red Bank Regional      16- 3      13     7    +      2.89
   421 A Toms River South       10- 3       7     1    ++     5.08
   425 H Rumson-Fair Haven       2-13     -11    -9          -0.62
   427 A Manasquan               7-13      -6    -5          -0.87
   428 A Brick Township         12- 0      12    13           0.00
   501 H Toms River North        5- 6      -1     0          -0.02
   503 A Brick Memorial         12- 2      10    18           0.00
   506 A Southern Regional       6-10      -4    -4           0.12
   509 H Jackson Memorial        7- 6       1     0           0.84
   512 A St Rose Belmar          8- 6       2     0    +      2.46
   513 H St John Vianney        12- 7       5     7    -     -2.18
   515 A Christian Bros          1-12     -11   -13           0.00
   524 A Hunterdon Central       3-14     -11   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Marlboro                6- 4       2    11    ---   -8.00
   410 A Toms River East         2- 7      -5     3    ---   -8.07
   404 H St Rose Belmar          5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.11
   415 H Monsignor Donovan       8- 5       3     6    -     -3.99
   513 H St John Vianney        12- 7       5     7    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Red Bank Catholic      11- 3       8     3    ++     4.44
   421 A Toms River South       10- 3       7     1    ++     5.08
   411 H Howell                  8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.72
   419 A Red Bank Regional      16- 3      13     7    +      2.89
   512 A St Rose Belmar          8- 6       2     0    +      2.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.85 Local Power Rank...........    80
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.77 Local SOS Rank.............   101
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    66
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    82
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/