Conf =  Bay State                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Ed Moy                

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2571869    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Walpole                MA 2          (17- 4, 86.6)     5-11   
 401 H Marshfield             MA 1          ( 5-11, 77.1)     5- 7   
 404 A Braintree              MA 1          ( 3-16, 70.8)     5- 3   
 406 H Newton North           MA 1          (16- 6, 85.0)     6- 9   
 411 A Wellesley              MA 2          (24- 1, 93.5)     4-10   
 420 A Marshfield             MA 1          ( 5-11, 77.1)     7- 6   
 422 H Hopkinton              MA 2          (16- 5, 86.5)     2-13   
 425 H Weymouth               MA 1          ( 9-10, 80.1)     9- 8   
 427 H Natick                 MA 2          ( 5-13, 72.3)    13- 7   
 501 H Needham                MA 1          (17- 3, 92.7)     2-10   
 504 A Brookline              MA 1          ( 1-17, 66.7)    11- 4   
 505 A Dedham                 MA 3          ( 0-16, 61.5)    20- 2   
 508 H Braintree              MA 1          ( 3-16, 70.8)     9- 5   
 510 A Newton North           MA 1          (16- 6, 85.0)     3-10   
 515 A Milton                 MA 2          (12- 8, 80.4)     3- 7   
 516 A Weymouth               MA 1          ( 9-10, 80.1)     7- 6   
 519 H Norwood                MA 2          (10-11, 73.9)    14- 8   
 522 A Needham                MA 1          (17- 3, 92.7)     3-15   
 524 H Brookline              MA 1          ( 1-17, 66.7)    15- 8   
 530 A Newton North           MA 1          (16- 6, 85.0)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Walpole                 5-11      -6    -7           1.18
   401 H Marshfield              5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.28
   404 A Braintree               5- 3       2     7    --    -5.08
   406 H Newton North            6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.56
   411 A Wellesley               4-10      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   420 A Marshfield              7- 6       1     0           0.25
   422 H Hopkinton               2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.92
   425 H Weymouth                9- 8       1     0           1.65
   427 H Natick                 13- 7       6     7          -1.06
   501 H Needham                 2-10      -8   -13    +      2.00
   504 A Brookline              11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   505 A Dedham                 20- 2      18    16           0.00
   508 H Braintree               9- 5       4     8    --    -4.61
   510 A Newton North            3-10      -7    -7           0.09
   515 A Milton                  3- 7      -4    -2          -1.50
   516 A Weymouth                7- 6       1    -2    +      3.18
   519 H Norwood                14- 8       6     5           0.49
   522 A Needham                 3-15     -12   -14           0.00
   524 H Brookline              15- 8       7    12    -     -3.00
   530 A Newton North            7-11      -4    -7    +      3.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Marshfield              5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.28
   404 A Braintree               5- 3       2     7    --    -5.08
   508 H Braintree               9- 5       4     8    --    -4.61
   422 H Hopkinton               2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.92
   504 A Brookline              11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   524 H Brookline              15- 8       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Wellesley               4-10      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   406 H Newton North            6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.56
   501 H Needham                 2-10      -8   -13    +      2.00
   516 A Weymouth                7- 6       1    -2    +      3.18
   530 A Newton North            7-11      -4    -7    +      3.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.64 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.21 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    54
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    58
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/