Conf = ECIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Dave HowesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 75.6785355 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Suffield HS CT S ( 6-11, 67.7) 12- 7 411 A Ledyard CT M ( 5- 8, 70.2) 6- 9 420 H Morgan-Clinton CT S ( 9- 7, 76.4) 4- 9 422 H Xavier-Middletown CT L (11- 6, 83.4) 4-14 426 H Saint Bernard CT S ( 1-13, 55.2) 15- 1 427 H Old Lyme CT S (13- 5, 78.9) 6-17 429 A Woodstock Academy CT M ( 3-12, 63.2) 6- 4 502 H Stonington CT S ( 9- 8, 71.3) 18-11 504 A Lewis Mills-Burlington CT S ( 1-14, 53.3) 15- 1 506 A North Kingstown NE RI (15- 5, 85.3) 3- 9 509 H Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 8-10, 69.7) 4- 6 511 H Windsor CT M ( 8- 9, 76.0) 5-12 516 A East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 84.4) 5-13 519 A Wheeler-No Stonington CT S ( 5-11, 63.1) 7- 2 523 A Guilford CT M ( 8-10, 78.9) 4-17 524 N Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 8-10, 69.7) 9- 5 526 A East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 84.4) 3-13 601 A Danbury CT L ( 8-10, 77.3) 4-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Suffield HS 12- 7 5 3 1.41 411 A Ledyard 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.63 420 H Morgan-Clinton 4- 9 -5 -5 0.11 422 H Xavier-Middletown 4-14 -10 -12 0.00 426 H Saint Bernard 15- 1 14 16 0.00 427 H Old Lyme 6-17 -11 -7 - -2.43 429 A Woodstock Academy 6- 4 2 5 - -3.61 502 H Stonington 18-11 7 0 +++ 7.03 504 A Lewis Mills-Burlington 15- 1 14 15 0.00 506 A North Kingstown 3- 9 -6 -16 n/a 509 H Norwich Free Academy 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.56 511 H Windsor 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.34 516 A East Lyme 5-13 -8 -15 + 2.00 519 A Wheeler-No Stonington 7- 2 5 5 -0.70 523 A Guilford 4-17 -13 -10 0.00 524 N Norwich Free Academy 9- 5 4 0 + 3.67 526 A East Lyme 3-13 -10 -15 0.00 601 A Danbury 4-11 -7 -8 1.49UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 H Old Lyme 6-17 -11 -7 - -2.43 429 A Woodstock Academy 6- 4 2 5 - -3.61 509 H Norwich Free Academy 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.56 511 H Windsor 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Stonington 18-11 7 0 +++ 7.03 506 A North Kingstown 3- 9 -6 -16 ++ 516 A East Lyme 5-13 -8 -15 + 2.00 524 N Norwich Free Academy 9- 5 4 0 + 3.67/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.07 Local Power Rank........... 51 Local SOS Rating......... 46.46 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 45 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 21 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 55 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3