Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Dave Howes            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.6785355    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 6-11, 67.7)    12- 7   
 411 A Ledyard                CT M          ( 5- 8, 70.2)     6- 9   
 420 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 9- 7, 76.4)     4- 9   
 422 H Xavier-Middletown      CT L          (11- 6, 83.4)     4-14   
 426 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 1-13, 55.2)    15- 1   
 427 H Old Lyme               CT S          (13- 5, 78.9)     6-17   
 429 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 3-12, 63.2)     6- 4   
 502 H Stonington             CT S          ( 9- 8, 71.3)    18-11   
 504 A Lewis Mills-Burlington CT S          ( 1-14, 53.3)    15- 1   
 506 A North Kingstown        NE    RI      (15- 5, 85.3)     3- 9   
 509 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 8-10, 69.7)     4- 6   
 511 H Windsor                CT M          ( 8- 9, 76.0)     5-12   
 516 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 84.4)     5-13   
 519 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 5-11, 63.1)     7- 2   
 523 A Guilford               CT M          ( 8-10, 78.9)     4-17   
 524 N Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 8-10, 69.7)     9- 5   
 526 A East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 84.4)     3-13   
 601 A Danbury                CT L          ( 8-10, 77.3)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Suffield HS            12- 7       5     3           1.41
   411 A Ledyard                 6- 9      -3    -1          -1.63
   420 H Morgan-Clinton          4- 9      -5    -5           0.11
   422 H Xavier-Middletown       4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   426 H Saint Bernard          15- 1      14    16           0.00
   427 H Old Lyme                6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.43
   429 A Woodstock Academy       6- 4       2     5    -     -3.61
   502 H Stonington             18-11       7     0    +++    7.03
   504 A Lewis Mills-Burlington 15- 1      14    15           0.00
   506 A North Kingstown         3- 9      -6   -16          n/a  
   509 H Norwich Free Academy    4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.56
   511 H Windsor                 5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.34
   516 A East Lyme               5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
   519 A Wheeler-No Stonington   7- 2       5     5          -0.70
   523 A Guilford                4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   524 N Norwich Free Academy    9- 5       4     0    +      3.67
   526 A East Lyme               3-13     -10   -15           0.00
   601 A Danbury                 4-11      -7    -8           1.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Old Lyme                6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.43
   429 A Woodstock Academy       6- 4       2     5    -     -3.61
   509 H Norwich Free Academy    4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.56
   511 H Windsor                 5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Stonington             18-11       7     0    +++    7.03
   506 A North Kingstown         3- 9      -6   -16    ++         
   516 A East Lyme               5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
   524 N Norwich Free Academy    9- 5       4     0    +      3.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.07 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.46 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    45
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    55
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/