Conf = SCIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Jesuits Coach = Chris SmalkaisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.2913437 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 A Somers NY B Sec 1 (18- 5, 92.6) 9- 8 408 A Wilton CT M (12- 8, 90.3) 1-14 411 H Guilford CT M ( 8-10, 78.9) 16- 6 413 H Amity Regional CT L ( 8- 9, 79.0) 14- 2 415 A Boston College HS MA 1 (10-10, 85.0) 15-10 420 H Greenwich CT L (17- 3, 93.0) 9-12 422 A Chaminade NY Cath (15- 2, 99.9) 2- 9 425 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (20- 3, 95.1) 6-10 427 H Norwalk CT L (14- 7, 86.5) 11- 6 502 A Darien CT M (21- 1, 99.9) 2-12 504 A Branford CT M (13- 6, 85.8) 13- 7 506 A New Canaan CT M (14- 6, 89.8) 7- 8 o 511 H Xavier-Middletown CT L (11- 6, 83.4) 15- 2 516 H Cheshire HS CT L ( 9-11, 81.7) 11- 6 518 A Hamden CT L ( 8-10, 76.1) 16- 5 525 A Glastonbury CT L (14- 4, 87.4) 7- 6 527 H Guilford CT M ( 8-10, 78.9) 14- 2 530 H Branford CT M (13- 6, 85.8) 15- 7 601 N Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (20- 3, 95.1) 4-11 603 H Amity Regional CT L ( 8- 9, 79.0) 10- 4 606 A Greenwich CT L (17- 3, 93.0) 13-12 o 608 N Simsbury CT L (14- 6, 83.6) 11- 5 610 N Norwalk CT L (14- 7, 86.5) 13-12 4oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Somers 9- 8 1 -3 n/a 408 A Wilton 1-14 -13 -1 --- -8.55 411 H Guilford 16- 6 10 12 0.00 413 H Amity Regional 14- 2 12 12 0.00 415 A Boston College HS 15-10 5 4 n/a 420 H Greenwich 9-12 -3 -1 -1.38 422 A Chaminade 2- 9 -7 -10 n/a 425 H Daniel Hand-Madison 6-10 -4 -3 -0.26 427 H Norwalk 11- 6 5 4 0.17 502 A Darien 2-12 -10 -11 0.00 504 A Branford 13- 7 6 3 + 2.89 506 A New Canaan 7- 8 o -1 0 -0.12 511 H Xavier-Middletown 15- 2 13 7 + 2.06 516 H Cheshire HS 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.63 518 A Hamden 16- 5 11 12 0.00 525 A Glastonbury 7- 6 1 1 -0.48 527 H Guilford 14- 2 12 12 0.00 530 H Branford 15- 7 8 5 + 2.43 601 N Daniel Hand-Madison 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.03 603 H Amity Regional 10- 4 6 12 -- -4.00 606 A Greenwich 13-12 o 1 -4 ++ 5.09 608 N Simsbury 11- 5 6 6 -0.57 610 N Norwalk 13-12 4o 1 3 - -2.59UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Wilton 1-14 -13 -1 --- -8.55 516 H Cheshire HS 11- 6 5 9 -- -4.63 603 H Amity Regional 10- 4 6 12 -- -4.00 601 N Daniel Hand-Madison 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.03 610 N Norwalk 13-12 4o 1 3 - -2.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Somers 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 606 A Greenwich 13-12 o 1 -4 ++ 5.09 422 A Chaminade 2- 9 -7 -10 + 504 A Branford 13- 7 6 3 + 2.89 511 H Xavier-Middletown 15- 2 13 7 + 2.06 530 H Branford 15- 7 8 5 + 2.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.13 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 71.86 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7