Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Jesuits              Coach  =   Chris Smalkais        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.2913437    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Somers                 NY B  Sec 1   (18- 5, 92.6)     9- 8   
 408 A Wilton                 CT M          (12- 8, 90.3)     1-14   
 411 H Guilford               CT M          ( 8-10, 78.9)    16- 6   
 413 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.0)    14- 2   
 415 A Boston College HS      MA 1          (10-10, 85.0)    15-10   
 420 H Greenwich              CT L          (17- 3, 93.0)     9-12   
 422 A Chaminade              NY    Cath    (15- 2, 99.9)     2- 9   
 425 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (20- 3, 95.1)     6-10   
 427 H Norwalk                CT L          (14- 7, 86.5)    11- 6   
 502 A Darien                 CT M          (21- 1, 99.9)     2-12   
 504 A Branford               CT M          (13- 6, 85.8)    13- 7   
 506 A New Canaan             CT M          (14- 6, 89.8)     7- 8  o
 511 H Xavier-Middletown      CT L          (11- 6, 83.4)    15- 2   
 516 H Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 81.7)    11- 6   
 518 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-10, 76.1)    16- 5   
 525 A Glastonbury            CT L          (14- 4, 87.4)     7- 6   
 527 H Guilford               CT M          ( 8-10, 78.9)    14- 2   
 530 H Branford               CT M          (13- 6, 85.8)    15- 7   
 601 N Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (20- 3, 95.1)     4-11   
 603 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.0)    10- 4   
 606 A Greenwich              CT L          (17- 3, 93.0)    13-12  o
 608 N Simsbury               CT L          (14- 6, 83.6)    11- 5   
 610 N Norwalk                CT L          (14- 7, 86.5)    13-12 4o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Somers                  9- 8       1    -3          n/a  
   408 A Wilton                  1-14     -13    -1    ---   -8.55
   411 H Guilford               16- 6      10    12           0.00
   413 H Amity Regional         14- 2      12    12           0.00
   415 A Boston College HS      15-10       5     4          n/a  
   420 H Greenwich               9-12      -3    -1          -1.38
   422 A Chaminade               2- 9      -7   -10          n/a  
   425 H Daniel Hand-Madison     6-10      -4    -3          -0.26
   427 H Norwalk                11- 6       5     4           0.17
   502 A Darien                  2-12     -10   -11           0.00
   504 A Branford               13- 7       6     3    +      2.89
   506 A New Canaan              7- 8  o   -1     0          -0.12
   511 H Xavier-Middletown      15- 2      13     7    +      2.06
   516 H Cheshire HS            11- 6       5     9    --    -4.63
   518 A Hamden                 16- 5      11    12           0.00
   525 A Glastonbury             7- 6       1     1          -0.48
   527 H Guilford               14- 2      12    12           0.00
   530 H Branford               15- 7       8     5    +      2.43
   601 N Daniel Hand-Madison     4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.03
   603 H Amity Regional         10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   606 A Greenwich              13-12  o    1    -4    ++     5.09
   608 N Simsbury               11- 5       6     6          -0.57
   610 N Norwalk                13-12 4o    1     3    -     -2.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Wilton                  1-14     -13    -1    ---   -8.55
   516 H Cheshire HS            11- 6       5     9    --    -4.63
   603 H Amity Regional         10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   601 N Daniel Hand-Madison     4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.03
   610 N Norwalk                13-12 4o    1     3    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Somers                  9- 8       1    -3    ++         
   606 A Greenwich              13-12  o    1    -4    ++     5.09
   422 A Chaminade               2- 9      -7   -10    +          
   504 A Branford               13- 7       6     3    +      2.89
   511 H Xavier-Middletown      15- 2      13     7    +      2.06
   530 H Branford               15- 7       8     5    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.13 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.86 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/