Fairfax                       2 -10


 
                                     Region = VA    Concord          
   Nickname = A Rebels               Coach  =   Tom Hostutler         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.4518738    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H West Springfield       VA    Patriot ( 7- 7, 85.7)     4- 5   
 322 H Yorktown               VA    Nationl (15- 1, 93.6)     3- 9   
 324 A Annandale              VA    Patriot ( 6- 6, 86.1)     6-10   
 327 H Centreville            VA    Concord ( 6- 7, 85.1)    11-13   
 331 A Herndon                VA    Concord ( 5- 7, 86.3)     5- 9   
 404 A Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 0-14, 62.5)    16- 2   
 420 H Chantilly              VA    Concord ( 7- 7, 90.5)     3-11   
 424 H Oakton                 VA    Concord (13- 7, 94.9)     5-21   
 425 H Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 2-12, 75.8)     8- 5   
 428 A Robinson               VA    Concord (15- 6, 98.3)    10-20   
 502 A Westfield              VA    Concord (12- 3, 99.9)     3-16   
 508 H Westfield              VA    Concord (12- 3, 99.9)     3-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H West Springfield        4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.00
   322 H Yorktown                3- 9      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   324 A Annandale               6-10      -4    -6    +      2.60
   327 H Centreville            11-13      -2    -5    +      3.42
   331 A Herndon                 5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.79
   404 A Wakefield HS           16- 2      14    16           0.00
   420 H Chantilly               3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   424 H Oakton                  5-21     -16   -15           0.00
   425 H Mount Vernon            8- 5       3     3          -0.85
   428 A Robinson               10-20     -10   -18           0.00
   502 A Westfield               3-16     -13   -20           0.00
   508 H Westfield               3-14     -11   -20           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H West Springfield        4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.00
   322 H Yorktown                3- 9      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   324 A Annandale               6-10      -4    -6    +      2.60
   327 H Centreville            11-13      -2    -5    +      3.42
   331 A Herndon                 5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.79
   420 H Chantilly               3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.60 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.97 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3


  
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