Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Redmen               Coach  =   Joe Ancona            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0195465    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 79.2)    10- 5   
 330 H Island Trees           NY B  Sec 8   ( 7- 8, 72.9)    13- 3   
 401 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 76.2)     6- 4   
 405 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 9, 80.2)     7- 6   
 407 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (23- 0, 99.4)     6-15   
 411 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 78.6)    15- 4   
 419 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 76.2)     8- 4   
 421 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 70.0)    15- 3   
 425 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 76.6)     9- 4   
 427 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 79.1)    10- 9  o
 501 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.4)     3- 9   
 503 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.2)     1- 2   
 505 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 83.8)    10- 6   
 509 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 75.4)     8- 2   
 511 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 91.0)     3-11   
 515 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 6, 79.4)     6- 2   
 517 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 86.6)     8- 9   
 523 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 76.2)     9- 5   
 525 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.4)     3-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Commack                10- 5       5     5          -0.76
   330 H Island Trees           13- 3      10    12          n/a  
   401 A Lindenhurst             6- 4       2     8    ---   -6.07
   405 H William Floyd           7- 6       1     4    -     -3.80
   407 A West Islip              6-15      -9   -15           1.00
   411 A North Babylon          15- 4      11     5    ++     4.30
   419 H Sachem North            8- 4       4     8    --    -4.74
   421 H Bellport               15- 3      12    14           0.00
   425 H Half Hollow Hills East  9- 4       5     8    -     -3.32
   427 A Bay Shore              10- 9  o    1     5    --    -4.19
   501 A Ward Melville           3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.09
   503 H West Babylon            1- 2      -1     4    --    -5.73
   505 A Sachem East            10- 6       4     0    +      3.51
   509 A Middle Country          8- 2       6     8    -     -2.88
   511 H Northport               3-11      -8    -6          -1.99
   515 A Patchogue-Medford       6- 2       4     4          -0.93
   517 H Smithtown West          8- 9      -1    -1           0.67
   523 H Lindenhurst             9- 5       4     8    --    -4.73
   525 A Ward Melville           3-10      -7    -9    +      2.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Lindenhurst             6- 4       2     8    ---   -6.07
   419 H Sachem North            8- 4       4     8    --    -4.74
   427 A Bay Shore              10- 9  o    1     5    --    -4.19
   503 H West Babylon            1- 2      -1     4    --    -5.73
   523 H Lindenhurst             9- 5       4     8    --    -4.73
   405 H William Floyd           7- 6       1     4    -     -3.80
   425 H Half Hollow Hills East  9- 4       5     8    -     -3.32
   509 A Middle Country          8- 2       6     8    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A North Babylon          15- 4      11     5    ++     4.30
   501 A Ward Melville           3- 9      -6    -9    +      3.09
   505 A Sachem East            10- 6       4     0    +      3.51
   525 A Ward Melville           3-10      -7    -9    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.64 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.92 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/