Region = NC 4A Nickname = C Pirates Coach = Jim KirkleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.0896149 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Mount Tabor NC 4A ( 7-10, 86.5) 8- 7 307 A Cardinal Gibbons NC 3A/2A (20- 3, 94.5) 14- 7 310 A Durham Academy NC Prvate (12-10, 86.3) 11-12 2o 311 H Archbishop Spalding MD A MIAA ( 9-14, 82.9) 7-13 315 A Western Guilford NC 3A/2A (17- 2, 93.6) 14- 6 317 A Chapel Hill NC 4A (21- 3, 99.6) 3-13 318 H Annapolis Area Christn MD B MIAA ( 9- 8, 92.5) 10-11 2o 323 H East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 4, 99.9) 8-12 404 A Northern Durham NC 4A ( 4-16, 74.8) 20- 0 407 A Apex NC 4A (17- 3, 97.8) 3-10 411 H Durham Jordan NC 4A (15- 9, 93.3) 10-14 418 H Athens Drive NC 4A ( 3-15, 79.5) 13- 3 421 H Chapel Hill NC 4A (21- 3, 99.6) 9-11 425 A East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 4, 99.9) 13- 7 428 H Northern Durham NC 4A ( 4-16, 74.8) 21- 1 502 A Greensboro Page NC 4A (10- 6, 89.6) 8- 5 504 A Durham Jordan NC 4A (15- 9, 93.3) 9-10 o 509 H Wilmington Laney NC 4A ( 7- 8, 88.0) 13- 7 512 A East Chapel Hill NC 4A (17- 4, 99.9) 6-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Mount Tabor 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.53 307 A Cardinal Gibbons 14- 7 7 -3 +++ 10.09 310 A Durham Academy 11-12 2o -1 4 n/a 311 H Archbishop Spalding 7-13 -6 9 n/a 315 A Western Guilford 14- 6 8 -2 +++ 10.15 317 A Chapel Hill 3-13 -10 -8 -1.82 318 H Annapolis Area Christn 10-11 2o -1 0 n/a 323 H East Chapel Hill 8-12 -4 -7 + 3.91 404 A Northern Durham 20- 0 20 16 0.00 407 A Apex 3-10 -7 -6 -0.61 411 H Durham Jordan 10-14 -4 -1 - -2.73 418 H Athens Drive 13- 3 10 12 0.00 421 H Chapel Hill 9-11 -2 -7 ++ 5.61 425 A East Chapel Hill 13- 7 6 -8 +++ 14.48 428 H Northern Durham 21- 1 20 17 0.00 502 A Greensboro Page 8- 5 3 1 1.17 504 A Durham Jordan 9-10 o -1 -1 0.84 509 H Wilmington Laney 13- 7 6 4 1.99 512 A East Chapel Hill 6-14 -8 -8 0.48UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Archbishop Spalding 7-13 -6 9 --- 303 H Mount Tabor 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.53 310 A Durham Academy 11-12 2o -1 4 -- 411 H Durham Jordan 10-14 -4 -1 - -2.73OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Cardinal Gibbons 14- 7 7 -3 +++ 10.09 315 A Western Guilford 14- 6 8 -2 +++ 10.15 425 A East Chapel Hill 13- 7 6 -8 +++ 14.48 421 H Chapel Hill 9-11 -2 -7 ++ 5.61 323 H East Chapel Hill 8-12 -4 -7 + 3.91/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.70 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 79.82 Local SOS Rank............. 1 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 7.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0