Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Jim Kirkley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.0896149    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 H Mount Tabor            NC    4A      ( 7-10, 86.5)     8- 7   
 307 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (20- 3, 94.5)    14- 7   
 310 A Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (12-10, 86.3)    11-12 2o
 311 H Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 9-14, 82.9)     7-13   
 315 A Western  Guilford      NC    3A/2A   (17- 2, 93.6)    14- 6   
 317 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (21- 3, 99.6)     3-13   
 318 H Annapolis Area Christn MD B  MIAA    ( 9- 8, 92.5)    10-11 2o
 323 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 4, 99.9)     8-12   
 404 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 4-16, 74.8)    20- 0   
 407 A Apex                   NC    4A      (17- 3, 97.8)     3-10   
 411 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (15- 9, 93.3)    10-14   
 418 H Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 3-15, 79.5)    13- 3   
 421 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (21- 3, 99.6)     9-11   
 425 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 4, 99.9)    13- 7   
 428 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 4-16, 74.8)    21- 1   
 502 A Greensboro Page        NC    4A      (10- 6, 89.6)     8- 5   
 504 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (15- 9, 93.3)     9-10  o
 509 H Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 7- 8, 88.0)    13- 7   
 512 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 4, 99.9)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Mount Tabor             8- 7       1     5    --    -4.53
   307 A Cardinal Gibbons       14- 7       7    -3    +++   10.09
   310 A Durham Academy         11-12 2o   -1     4          n/a  
   311 H Archbishop Spalding     7-13      -6     9          n/a  
   315 A Western  Guilford      14- 6       8    -2    +++   10.15
   317 A Chapel Hill             3-13     -10    -8          -1.82
   318 H Annapolis Area Christn 10-11 2o   -1     0          n/a  
   323 H East Chapel Hill        8-12      -4    -7    +      3.91
   404 A Northern Durham        20- 0      20    16           0.00
   407 A Apex                    3-10      -7    -6          -0.61
   411 H Durham Jordan          10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.73
   418 H Athens Drive           13- 3      10    12           0.00
   421 H Chapel Hill             9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.61
   425 A East Chapel Hill       13- 7       6    -8    +++   14.48
   428 H Northern Durham        21- 1      20    17           0.00
   502 A Greensboro Page         8- 5       3     1           1.17
   504 A Durham Jordan           9-10  o   -1    -1           0.84
   509 H Wilmington Laney       13- 7       6     4           1.99
   512 A East Chapel Hill        6-14      -8    -8           0.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Archbishop Spalding     7-13      -6     9    ---        
   303 H Mount Tabor             8- 7       1     5    --    -4.53
   310 A Durham Academy         11-12 2o   -1     4    --         
   411 H Durham Jordan          10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Cardinal Gibbons       14- 7       7    -3    +++   10.09
   315 A Western  Guilford      14- 6       8    -2    +++   10.15
   425 A East Chapel Hill       13- 7       6    -8    +++   14.48
   421 H Chapel Hill             9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.61
   323 H East Chapel Hill        8-12      -4    -7    +      3.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.70 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.82 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/