Region = NE East-1 Nickname = A Penguins Coach = Mike LebelGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.6625366 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Tilton School NE North ( 7- 8, 85.1) 8- 5 408 H Phillips Exeter NE East-1 (12- 7, 94.8) 3-14 412 A Moses Brown NE SEast-1 (12- 3, 93.7) 8-10 414 H Winchendon NE East-2 ( 4- 7, 79.4) 15- 4 415 A Kimball Union NE East-1 ( 6- 7, 88.8) 8- 7 o 419 A Northfield Mt Hermon NE 1 West ( 6-13, 86.2) 9- 8 421 A Thayer Academy NE ISL (11- 6, 91.6) 3-10 422 H Vermont Academy NE North ( 1-10, 78.5) 8- 5 426 H Brewster Academy NE North (15- 1, 99.9) 9-18 429 A Tabor Academy NE East-1 ( 9- 5, 95.7) 2-14 503 A Proctor NE North ( 3- 9, 80.6) 9- 6 505 H Totino Grace MN Cl-Sub (10- 7, 89.8) 6- 5 o 506 H Wilbraham & Monson NE 2 West ( 3- 8, 77.9) 7- 3 510 A Pomfret NE East-1 (14- 2, 97.4) 7-12 512 A Pingree NE East-2 (10- 6, 87.5) 12- 2 515 H Holderness NE East-1 ( 9- 5, 92.6) 5- 6 517 H Worcester Academy NE East-2 ( 3- 8, 78.6) 10- 4 520 A Portsmouth Abbey NE SEast-1 ( 9- 6, 89.9) 1-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Tilton School 8- 5 3 3 -0.19 408 H Phillips Exeter 3-14 -11 -6 - -3.52 412 A Moses Brown 8-10 -2 -6 ++ 4.62 414 H Winchendon 15- 4 11 8 1.10 415 A Kimball Union 8- 7 o 1 -1 + 2.73 419 A Northfield Mt Hermon 9- 8 1 0 n/a 421 A Thayer Academy 3-10 -7 -4 - -2.45 422 H Vermont Academy 8- 5 3 9 --- -6.74 426 H Brewster Academy 9-18 -9 -11 1.00 429 A Tabor Academy 2-14 -12 -8 -1.34 503 A Proctor 9- 6 3 6 - -3.51 505 H Totino Grace 6- 5 o 1 -1 n/a 506 H Wilbraham & Monson 7- 3 4 10 n/a 510 A Pomfret 7-12 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 512 A Pingree 12- 2 10 0 +++ 10.37 515 H Holderness 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.29 517 H Worcester Academy 10- 4 6 9 - -3.71 520 A Portsmouth Abbey 1-12 -11 -2 --- -7.14UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Vermont Academy 8- 5 3 9 --- -6.74 506 H Wilbraham & Monson 7- 3 4 10 --- 520 A Portsmouth Abbey 1-12 -11 -2 --- -7.14 408 H Phillips Exeter 3-14 -11 -6 - -3.52 421 A Thayer Academy 3-10 -7 -4 - -2.45 503 A Proctor 9- 6 3 6 - -3.51 517 H Worcester Academy 10- 4 6 9 - -3.71OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Pingree 12- 2 10 0 +++ 10.37 412 A Moses Brown 8-10 -2 -6 ++ 4.62 510 A Pomfret 7-12 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 415 A Kimball Union 8- 7 o 1 -1 + 2.73 505 H Totino Grace 6- 5 o 1 -1 + 515 H Holderness 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.29/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.68 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 73.92 Local SOS Rank............. 20 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 25 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 26 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 29 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0