Region = NE    East-1           
   Nickname = A Penguins             Coach  =   Mike Lebel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.6625366    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Tilton School          NE    North   ( 7- 8, 85.1)     8- 5   
 408 H Phillips Exeter        NE    East-1  (12- 7, 94.8)     3-14   
 412 A Moses Brown            NE    SEast-1 (12- 3, 93.7)     8-10   
 414 H Winchendon             NE    East-2  ( 4- 7, 79.4)    15- 4   
 415 A Kimball Union          NE    East-1  ( 6- 7, 88.8)     8- 7  o
 419 A Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 6-13, 86.2)     9- 8   
 421 A Thayer Academy         NE    ISL     (11- 6, 91.6)     3-10   
 422 H Vermont Academy        NE    North   ( 1-10, 78.5)     8- 5   
 426 H Brewster Academy       NE    North   (15- 1, 99.9)     9-18   
 429 A Tabor Academy          NE    East-1  ( 9- 5, 95.7)     2-14   
 503 A Proctor                NE    North   ( 3- 9, 80.6)     9- 6   
 505 H Totino Grace           MN    Cl-Sub  (10- 7, 89.8)     6- 5  o
 506 H Wilbraham & Monson     NE 2  West    ( 3- 8, 77.9)     7- 3   
 510 A Pomfret                NE    East-1  (14- 2, 97.4)     7-12   
 512 A Pingree                NE    East-2  (10- 6, 87.5)    12- 2   
 515 H Holderness             NE    East-1  ( 9- 5, 92.6)     5- 6   
 517 H Worcester Academy      NE    East-2  ( 3- 8, 78.6)    10- 4   
 520 A Portsmouth Abbey       NE    SEast-1 ( 9- 6, 89.9)     1-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Tilton School           8- 5       3     3          -0.19
   408 H Phillips Exeter         3-14     -11    -6    -     -3.52
   412 A Moses Brown             8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.62
   414 H Winchendon             15- 4      11     8           1.10
   415 A Kimball Union           8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.73
   419 A Northfield Mt Hermon    9- 8       1     0          n/a  
   421 A Thayer Academy          3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.45
   422 H Vermont Academy         8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.74
   426 H Brewster Academy        9-18      -9   -11           1.00
   429 A Tabor Academy           2-14     -12    -8          -1.34
   503 A Proctor                 9- 6       3     6    -     -3.51
   505 H Totino Grace            6- 5  o    1    -1          n/a  
   506 H Wilbraham & Monson      7- 3       4    10          n/a  
   510 A Pomfret                 7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   512 A Pingree                12- 2      10     0    +++   10.37
   515 H Holderness              5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.29
   517 H Worcester Academy      10- 4       6     9    -     -3.71
   520 A Portsmouth Abbey        1-12     -11    -2    ---   -7.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Vermont Academy         8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.74
   506 H Wilbraham & Monson      7- 3       4    10    ---        
   520 A Portsmouth Abbey        1-12     -11    -2    ---   -7.14
   408 H Phillips Exeter         3-14     -11    -6    -     -3.52
   421 A Thayer Academy          3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.45
   503 A Proctor                 9- 6       3     6    -     -3.51
   517 H Worcester Academy      10- 4       6     9    -     -3.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Pingree                12- 2      10     0    +++   10.37
   412 A Moses Brown             8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.62
   510 A Pomfret                 7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   415 A Kimball Union           8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.73
   505 H Totino Grace            6- 5  o    1    -1    +          
   515 H Holderness              5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.68 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.92 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/