Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Buckskins            Coach  =   Patrick Sasse         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5258179    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 3-13, 75.2)    13- 4   
 324 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 3-10, 79.7)    12- 4   
 328 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 4-11, 78.5)    10- 4   
 330 N Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (15- 6, 93.3)     6-14   
 404 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 6, 89.0)     8-12   
 406 H Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (14- 7, 91.9)    10-14   
 408 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 5, 83.2)   
 411 A Hempfield              PA    LL04    (15-10, 93.8)     5-15   
 413 H Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 1-10, 72.4)    15- 5   
 414 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 8, 85.2)     6- 7   
 418 H Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 3-10, 79.7)     9- 5   
 420 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (11- 7, 85.7)    10-11  o
 427 H Warwick                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 87.9)    10-11 2o
 502 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 6, 89.0)    14-13   
 505 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 0-12, 72.4)    14- 6   
 506 A Penn Charter           PA    IAC     (19-11, 93.3)     4-16   
 509 A South-Western          PA    York 1  (10- 5, 86.4)     7- 6   
 511 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (13- 8, 86.8)     9- 3   
 512 H Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (23- 5, 99.9)     3-19   
 516 A Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (14- 7, 91.9)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Harrisburg Academy     13- 4       9    10          -1.00
   324 A Penn Manor             12- 4       8     5    +      2.52
   328 H Palmyra                10- 4       6     8    -     -2.48
   330 N Cumberland Valley       6-14      -8    -7          -0.79
   404 H Ephrata                 8-12      -4    -2          -1.95
   406 H Lancaster Country Day  10-14      -4    -4           0.88
   411 A Hempfield               5-15     -10    -8          -1.41
   413 H Cocalico               15- 5      10    14           0.00
   414 A Lower Dauphin           6- 7      -1     0          -1.00
   418 H Penn Manor              9- 5       4     7    -     -3.28
   420 A Lampeter-Strasburg     10-11  o   -1     0          -0.51
   427 H Warwick                10-11 2o   -1     0          -0.07
   502 A Ephrata                14-13       1    -3    ++     4.84
   505 A Elizabethtown          14- 6       8    12    -     -2.00
   506 A Penn Charter            4-16     -12    -8          n/a  
   509 A South-Western           7- 6       1    -1    +      2.22
   511 A Hershey                 9- 3       6    -1    +++    7.58
   512 H Manheim Township        3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   516 A Lancaster Country Day  10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Palmyra                10- 4       6     8    -     -2.48
   418 H Penn Manor              9- 5       4     7    -     -3.28
   505 A Elizabethtown          14- 6       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Hershey                 9- 3       6    -1    +++    7.58
   502 A Ephrata                14-13       1    -3    ++     4.84
   516 A Lancaster Country Day  10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.68
   324 A Penn Manor             12- 4       8     5    +      2.52
   509 A South-Western           7- 6       1    -1    +      2.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.09 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.35 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/