Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Pat Collins           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2718811    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 86.6)     4-11   
 331 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 85.6)     6- 8   
 405 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 91.0)     7-16   
 407 H Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 68.0)    12- 5   
 411 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 66.3)    13- 6   
 415 A Smithtown East         NY B  Sec 11  (14- 3, 88.1)     5-15   
 419 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 79.2)     6-15   
 421 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 57.5)    17- 5   
 425 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 83.8)    13-18   
 427 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 9, 80.2)     4- 8   
 501 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 73.9)    14- 4   
 503 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (23- 0, 99.4)     4-20   
 505 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 76.2)    12- 9   
 509 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.4)     1-17   
 511 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.1)    11- 8   
 515 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 76.2)    11- 4   
 517 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 73.6)    17-10   
 523 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.2)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Smithtown West          4-11      -7    -8           1.85
   331 A Hauppauge               6- 8      -2    -8    +++    6.46
   405 A Northport               7-16      -9   -13           1.00
   407 H Deer Park              12- 5       7     9    -     -2.76
   411 A Copiague               13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   415 A Smithtown East          5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   419 A Commack                 6-15      -9    -2    ---   -6.92
   421 A Brentwood              17- 5      12    19           0.00
   425 H Sachem East            13-18      -5    -6           1.03
   427 H William Floyd           4- 8      -4    -2          -1.62
   501 A Walt Whitman           14- 4      10     3    +++    6.80
   503 H West Islip              4-20     -16   -21           0.00
   505 H Lindenhurst            12- 9       3     1           1.45
   509 H Ward Melville           1-17     -16   -15           0.00
   511 A Riverhead              11- 8       3     3          -0.06
   515 H Sachem North           11- 4       7     1    ++     5.44
   517 A Longwood               17-10       7     3    +      3.43
   523 A West Babylon            6-10      -4    -3          -0.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Commack                 6-15      -9    -2    ---   -6.92
   407 H Deer Park              12- 5       7     9    -     -2.76
   411 A Copiague               13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Hauppauge               6- 8      -2    -8    +++    6.46
   501 A Walt Whitman           14- 4      10     3    +++    6.80
   515 H Sachem North           11- 4       7     1    ++     5.44
   517 A Longwood               17-10       7     3    +      3.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.46 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.28 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/