Conf = Div I Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Thunderbirds Coach = Pat CollinsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.2718811 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (13- 6, 86.6) 4-11 331 A Hauppauge NY B Sec 11 (12- 6, 85.6) 6- 8 405 A Northport NY A Sec 11 (13- 4, 91.0) 7-16 407 H Deer Park NY A Sec 11 ( 4-13, 68.0) 12- 5 411 A Copiague NY A Sec 11 ( 2-15, 66.3) 13- 6 415 A Smithtown East NY B Sec 11 (14- 3, 88.1) 5-15 419 A Commack NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 9, 79.2) 6-15 421 A Brentwood NY A Sec 11 ( 0-15, 57.5) 17- 5 425 H Sachem East NY A Sec 11 (10- 8, 83.8) 13-18 427 H William Floyd NY A Sec 11 (10- 9, 80.2) 4- 8 501 A Walt Whitman NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 73.9) 14- 4 503 H West Islip NY A Sec 11 (23- 0, 99.4) 4-20 505 H Lindenhurst NY A Sec 11 ( 8-10, 76.2) 12- 9 509 H Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (16- 4, 93.4) 1-17 511 A Riverhead NY A Sec 11 ( 6-11, 74.1) 11- 8 515 H Sachem North NY A Sec 11 ( 5-11, 76.2) 11- 4 517 A Longwood NY A Sec 11 ( 5-10, 73.6) 17-10 523 A West Babylon NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 8, 80.2) 6-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Smithtown West 4-11 -7 -8 1.85 331 A Hauppauge 6- 8 -2 -8 +++ 6.46 405 A Northport 7-16 -9 -13 1.00 407 H Deer Park 12- 5 7 9 - -2.76 411 A Copiague 13- 6 7 10 - -3.00 415 A Smithtown East 5-15 -10 -11 0.00 419 A Commack 6-15 -9 -2 --- -6.92 421 A Brentwood 17- 5 12 19 0.00 425 H Sachem East 13-18 -5 -6 1.03 427 H William Floyd 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.62 501 A Walt Whitman 14- 4 10 3 +++ 6.80 503 H West Islip 4-20 -16 -21 0.00 505 H Lindenhurst 12- 9 3 1 1.45 509 H Ward Melville 1-17 -16 -15 0.00 511 A Riverhead 11- 8 3 3 -0.06 515 H Sachem North 11- 4 7 1 ++ 5.44 517 A Longwood 17-10 7 3 + 3.43 523 A West Babylon 6-10 -4 -3 -0.89UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Commack 6-15 -9 -2 --- -6.92 407 H Deer Park 12- 5 7 9 - -2.76 411 A Copiague 13- 6 7 10 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Hauppauge 6- 8 -2 -8 +++ 6.46 501 A Walt Whitman 14- 4 10 3 +++ 6.80 515 H Sachem North 11- 4 7 1 ++ 5.44 517 A Longwood 17-10 7 3 + 3.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.46 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 58.28 Local SOS Rank............. 24 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 24 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 24 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -12.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3