Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstars           Coach  =   Bill Aldrich          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5260620    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 79.8)    11- 5   
 331 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 98.1)     4- 8   
 404 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-12, 86.9)     9- 7   
 408 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 82.2)    17- 2   
 411 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 89.2)    12-11  o
 413 A Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 86.9)     6- 5  o
 415 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-12, 88.4)    17- 5   
 418 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 86.3)    21-17   
 422 A Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (13- 8, 89.9)    12-11  o
 425 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 84.3)    12- 4   
 427 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-11, 87.6)    11-15   
 502 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (18- 2, 99.4)    10-14   
 505 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-12, 86.9)    10- 8   
 511 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 98.1)     7- 6   
 513 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10-10, 85.8)    14- 6   
 516 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 89.2)    15- 9   
 518 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (10-10, 90.7)     8- 6   
 526 H Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 86.9)    15- 7   
 531 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 98.1)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Pittsford              11- 5       6    15          n/a  
   331 A West Genesee            4- 8      -4    -3          -0.19
   404 A Corcoran                9- 7       2     7    --    -5.36
   408 H Colonie                17- 2      15    13          n/a  
   411 H Liverpool              12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.99
   413 A Henninger               6- 5  o    1     7    ---   -6.37
   415 H Horseheads             17- 5      12     7          n/a  
   418 H Central Square         21-17       4     8    --    -4.91
   422 A Geneva                 12-11  o    1     4          n/a  
   425 H Oswego                 12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   427 A Auburn                 11-15      -4     6    ---  -10.73
   502 A Fayetteville-Manlius   10-14      -4    -5           1.12
   505 H Corcoran               10- 8       2     8    ---   -6.24
   511 H West Genesee            7- 6       1    -2    +      3.93
   513 H Victor                 14- 6       8     9          n/a  
   516 A Liverpool              15- 9       6     5           0.89
   518 H Baldwinsville           8- 6       2     4    -     -2.52
   526 H Henninger              15- 7       8     8          -0.25
   531 H West Genesee            5- 6      -1    -2           1.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Henninger               6- 5  o    1     7    ---   -6.37
   427 A Auburn                 11-15      -4     6    ---  -10.73
   505 H Corcoran               10- 8       2     8    ---   -6.24
   329 H Pittsford              11- 5       6    15    --         
   404 A Corcoran                9- 7       2     7    --    -5.36
   411 H Liverpool              12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.99
   418 H Central Square         21-17       4     8    --    -4.91
   422 A Geneva                 12-11  o    1     4    -          
   425 H Oswego                 12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   518 H Baldwinsville           8- 6       2     4    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Horseheads             17- 5      12     7    +          
   511 H West Genesee            7- 6       1    -2    +      3.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.74 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.67 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/