Conf = OSHLN1 Region = NY A Sec 3 Nickname = Y Northstars Coach = Bill AldrichGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.5260620 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Pittsford NY A Sec 5 ( 3-14, 79.8) 11- 5 331 A West Genesee NY A Sec 3 (19- 5, 98.1) 4- 8 404 A Corcoran NY A Sec 3 ( 6-12, 86.9) 9- 7 408 H Colonie NY A Sec 2 ( 7-12, 82.2) 17- 2 411 H Liverpool NY A Sec 3 ( 8-11, 89.2) 12-11 o 413 A Henninger NY A Sec 3 ( 8-10, 86.9) 6- 5 o 415 H Horseheads NY A Sec 4 ( 8-12, 88.4) 17- 5 418 H Central Square NY A Sec 3 ( 9-11, 86.3) 21-17 422 A Geneva NY B Sec 5 (13- 8, 89.9) 12-11 o 425 H Oswego NY A Sec 3 ( 7-11, 84.3) 12- 4 427 A Auburn NY A Sec 3 ( 7-11, 87.6) 11-15 502 A Fayetteville-Manlius NY A Sec 3 (18- 2, 99.4) 10-14 505 H Corcoran NY A Sec 3 ( 6-12, 86.9) 10- 8 511 H West Genesee NY A Sec 3 (19- 5, 98.1) 7- 6 513 H Victor NY B Sec 5 (10-10, 85.8) 14- 6 516 A Liverpool NY A Sec 3 ( 8-11, 89.2) 15- 9 518 H Baldwinsville NY A Sec 3 (10-10, 90.7) 8- 6 526 H Henninger NY A Sec 3 ( 8-10, 86.9) 15- 7 531 H West Genesee NY A Sec 3 (19- 5, 98.1) 5- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Pittsford 11- 5 6 15 n/a 331 A West Genesee 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.19 404 A Corcoran 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.36 408 H Colonie 17- 2 15 13 n/a 411 H Liverpool 12-11 o 1 5 -- -4.99 413 A Henninger 6- 5 o 1 7 --- -6.37 415 H Horseheads 17- 5 12 7 n/a 418 H Central Square 21-17 4 8 -- -4.91 422 A Geneva 12-11 o 1 4 n/a 425 H Oswego 12- 4 8 10 - -2.00 427 A Auburn 11-15 -4 6 --- -10.73 502 A Fayetteville-Manlius 10-14 -4 -5 1.12 505 H Corcoran 10- 8 2 8 --- -6.24 511 H West Genesee 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.93 513 H Victor 14- 6 8 9 n/a 516 A Liverpool 15- 9 6 5 0.89 518 H Baldwinsville 8- 6 2 4 - -2.52 526 H Henninger 15- 7 8 8 -0.25 531 H West Genesee 5- 6 -1 -2 1.93UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 A Henninger 6- 5 o 1 7 --- -6.37 427 A Auburn 11-15 -4 6 --- -10.73 505 H Corcoran 10- 8 2 8 --- -6.24 329 H Pittsford 11- 5 6 15 -- 404 A Corcoran 9- 7 2 7 -- -5.36 411 H Liverpool 12-11 o 1 5 -- -4.99 418 H Central Square 21-17 4 8 -- -4.91 422 A Geneva 12-11 o 1 4 - 425 H Oswego 12- 4 8 10 - -2.00 518 H Baldwinsville 8- 6 2 4 - -2.52OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Horseheads 17- 5 12 7 + 511 H West Genesee 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.93/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.74 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 75.67 Local SOS Rank............. 8 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0