Region = MD 43 South Nickname = D Mustangs Coach = Andy GerardGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.2324982 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Hereford MD 32 North (10- 5, 92.6) 2- 6 324 A St Marys Ryken DC WCAC (16- 3, 99.9) 3-15 325 N Norfolk Academy VA 1 Tidewtr (17- 2, 99.9) 3-11 327 A Francis Scott Key MD 21 West ( 8- 7, 88.8) 6- 7 3o 403 H North Harford MD 32 North (17- 3, 94.4) 4-11 407 H Fallston MD 32 North (11- 7, 91.7) 5-10 412 H South River MD 43 East (15- 3, 92.5) 6-15 415 H Red Lion PA York 1 (11- 8, 87.6) 7- 6 o 415 H Havre De Grace MD 21 South (14- 5, 84.6) 6- 7 421 H Bel Air MD 32 North (11- 5, 91.5) 5- 8 422 N Westminster MD 43 North (13- 5, 93.9) 4-18 426 H North Harford MD 32 North (17- 3, 94.4) 0-12 428 A Fallston MD 32 North (11- 7, 91.7) 5-12 503 A Bel Air MD 32 North (11- 5, 91.5) 4-10 511 A Kenwood MD 43 South ( 5-10, 74.7) 12- 1 513 A Lake Clifton MD 43 South ( 3- 8, 59.6) 15- 1 515 A Parkville MD 43 South ( 8- 9, 79.0) 11- 6 517 A Dulaney MD 43 South (16- 4, 99.9) 3-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Hereford 2- 6 -4 -11 +++ 6.00 324 A St Marys Ryken 3-15 -12 -20 n/a 325 N Norfolk Academy 3-11 -8 -19 n/a 327 A Francis Scott Key 6- 7 3o -1 -8 +++ 7.68 403 H North Harford 4-11 -7 -13 + 3.00 407 H Fallston 5-10 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 412 H South River 6-15 -9 -11 1.00 415 H Red Lion 7- 6 o 1 -6 n/a 415 H Havre De Grace 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.46 421 H Bel Air 5- 8 -3 -10 +++ 7.00 422 N Westminster 4-18 -14 -13 0.00 426 H North Harford 0-12 -12 -13 0.00 428 A Fallston 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00 503 A Bel Air 4-10 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 511 A Kenwood 12- 1 11 5 ++ 4.62 513 A Lake Clifton 15- 1 14 20 0.00 515 A Parkville 11- 6 5 1 + 3.90 517 A Dulaney 3-17 -14 -19 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Hereford 2- 6 -4 -11 +++ 6.00 327 A Francis Scott Key 6- 7 3o -1 -8 +++ 7.68 415 H Red Lion 7- 6 o 1 -6 +++ 421 H Bel Air 5- 8 -3 -10 +++ 7.00 407 H Fallston 5-10 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 503 A Bel Air 4-10 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 511 A Kenwood 12- 1 11 5 ++ 4.62 325 N Norfolk Academy 3-11 -8 -19 + 403 H North Harford 4-11 -7 -13 + 3.00 415 H Havre De Grace 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.46 428 A Fallston 5-12 -7 -11 + 3.00 515 A Parkville 11- 6 5 1 + 3.90/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.64 Local Power Rank........... 57 Local SOS Rating......... 77.05 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 62 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 31 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 87 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 5.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -11.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7