Region = PA    2DSOUTH          
   Nickname = A Colts                Coach  =   Tony Greco            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.9120941    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Shaler Area            PA    2DNORTH ( 5-12, 74.1)     9- 5   
 321 H Hampton                PA    2DNORTH (16- 4, 90.6)     6-16   
 324 H Morgantown             PA    2DSOUTH ( 5-11, 77.5)     8- 4   
 327 A Quaker Valley          PA    2DSOUTH ( 7-11, 80.1)     8- 6   
 331 H North Hills            PA    2DNORTH (16- 5, 92.2)     9-10   
 405 H Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    2DSOUTH (13- 2, 90.1)     0-12   
 407 H Butler Area            PA    2DNORTH ( 3-12, 73.1)     8- 2   
 411 H Winchester Thurston    PA    2DSOUTH ( 8- 6, 83.4)     5- 6   
 419 A University             PA    2DSOUTH ( 4-12, 74.0)     9- 6   
 422 N Green-Akron            OH 2  Reg 2   ( 7- 8, 86.1)     3- 6   
 422 A Erie-McDowell          PA    2DNORTH (13- 4, 86.0)     3- 9   
 425 A Fairmont               PA    2DSOUTH ( 3- 9, 73.0)     5- 4   
 502 H Taylor Allderdice      PA    2DNORTH ( 1- 9, 70.8)    10- 4   
 505 H Baldwin                PA    2DSOUTH ( 2-18, 73.2)     6- 2   
 508 H Fox Chapel             PA    2DSOUTH (10- 8, 85.4)     3-10   
 509 A Latrobe                PA    Indep   ( 2- 5, 74.1)     9- 8   
 513 A Kiski Prep             PA    2DNORTH (10- 8, 81.3)     4- 9   
 516 A Canon-McMillan         PA    2DSOUTH ( 7- 4, 84.6)     8- 4   
 520 H Quaker Valley          PA    2DSOUTH ( 7-11, 80.1)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Shaler Area             9- 5       4     7    -     -3.43
   321 H Hampton                 6-16     -10    -9          -0.90
   324 H Morgantown              8- 4       4     4          -0.03
   327 A Quaker Valley           8- 6       2     0    +      2.15
   331 H North Hills             9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   405 H Greensburg Cath Cent    0-12     -12    -8          -1.39
   407 H Butler Area             8- 2       6     8    -     -2.47
   411 H Winchester Thurston     5- 6      -1    -1           0.82
   419 A University              9- 6       3     5    -     -2.93
   422 N Green-Akron             3- 6      -3    -5          n/a  
   422 A Erie-McDowell           3- 9      -6    -6           0.11
   425 A Fairmont                5- 4       1     6    --    -5.96
   502 H Taylor Allderdice      10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   505 H Baldwin                 6- 2       4     8    --    -4.37
   508 H Fox Chapel              3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.10
   509 A Latrobe                 9- 8       1     5    --    -4.77
   513 A Kiski Prep              4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.62
   516 A Canon-McMillan          8- 4       4    -4    +++    8.73
   520 H Quaker Valley           5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Fairmont                5- 4       1     6    --    -5.96
   502 H Taylor Allderdice      10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   505 H Baldwin                 6- 2       4     8    --    -4.37
   509 A Latrobe                 9- 8       1     5    --    -4.77
   314 H Shaler Area             9- 5       4     7    -     -3.43
   407 H Butler Area             8- 2       6     8    -     -2.47
   419 A University              9- 6       3     5    -     -2.93
   508 H Fox Chapel              3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.10
   513 A Kiski Prep              4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.62
   520 H Quaker Valley           5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H North Hills             9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   516 A Canon-McMillan          8- 4       4    -4    +++    8.73
   327 A Quaker Valley           8- 6       2     0    +      2.15
   422 N Green-Akron             3- 6      -3    -5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.72 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.90 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/