Region = PA 2DSOUTH Nickname = A Colts Coach = Tony GrecoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.9120941 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Shaler Area PA 2DNORTH ( 5-12, 74.1) 9- 5 321 H Hampton PA 2DNORTH (16- 4, 90.6) 6-16 324 H Morgantown PA 2DSOUTH ( 5-11, 77.5) 8- 4 327 A Quaker Valley PA 2DSOUTH ( 7-11, 80.1) 8- 6 331 H North Hills PA 2DNORTH (16- 5, 92.2) 9-10 405 H Greensburg Cath Cent PA 2DSOUTH (13- 2, 90.1) 0-12 407 H Butler Area PA 2DNORTH ( 3-12, 73.1) 8- 2 411 H Winchester Thurston PA 2DSOUTH ( 8- 6, 83.4) 5- 6 419 A University PA 2DSOUTH ( 4-12, 74.0) 9- 6 422 N Green-Akron OH 2 Reg 2 ( 7- 8, 86.1) 3- 6 422 A Erie-McDowell PA 2DNORTH (13- 4, 86.0) 3- 9 425 A Fairmont PA 2DSOUTH ( 3- 9, 73.0) 5- 4 502 H Taylor Allderdice PA 2DNORTH ( 1- 9, 70.8) 10- 4 505 H Baldwin PA 2DSOUTH ( 2-18, 73.2) 6- 2 508 H Fox Chapel PA 2DSOUTH (10- 8, 85.4) 3-10 509 A Latrobe PA Indep ( 2- 5, 74.1) 9- 8 513 A Kiski Prep PA 2DNORTH (10- 8, 81.3) 4- 9 516 A Canon-McMillan PA 2DSOUTH ( 7- 4, 84.6) 8- 4 520 H Quaker Valley PA 2DSOUTH ( 7-11, 80.1) 5- 6PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Shaler Area 9- 5 4 7 - -3.43 321 H Hampton 6-16 -10 -9 -0.90 324 H Morgantown 8- 4 4 4 -0.03 327 A Quaker Valley 8- 6 2 0 + 2.15 331 H North Hills 9-10 -1 -10 +++ 9.00 405 H Greensburg Cath Cent 0-12 -12 -8 -1.39 407 H Butler Area 8- 2 6 8 - -2.47 411 H Winchester Thurston 5- 6 -1 -1 0.82 419 A University 9- 6 3 5 - -2.93 422 N Green-Akron 3- 6 -3 -5 n/a 422 A Erie-McDowell 3- 9 -6 -6 0.11 425 A Fairmont 5- 4 1 6 -- -5.96 502 H Taylor Allderdice 10- 4 6 10 -- -4.00 505 H Baldwin 6- 2 4 8 -- -4.37 508 H Fox Chapel 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.10 509 A Latrobe 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.77 513 A Kiski Prep 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.62 516 A Canon-McMillan 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 8.73 520 H Quaker Valley 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Fairmont 5- 4 1 6 -- -5.96 502 H Taylor Allderdice 10- 4 6 10 -- -4.00 505 H Baldwin 6- 2 4 8 -- -4.37 509 A Latrobe 9- 8 1 5 -- -4.77 314 H Shaler Area 9- 5 4 7 - -3.43 407 H Butler Area 8- 2 6 8 - -2.47 419 A University 9- 6 3 5 - -2.93 508 H Fox Chapel 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.10 513 A Kiski Prep 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.62 520 H Quaker Valley 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.47OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H North Hills 9-10 -1 -10 +++ 9.00 516 A Canon-McMillan 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 8.73 327 A Quaker Valley 8- 6 2 0 + 2.15 422 N Green-Akron 3- 6 -3 -5 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.72 Local Power Rank........... 20 Local SOS Rating......... 58.90 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 22 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7