Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lions                Coach  =   Tom Gallagher         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6934586    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (11- 9, 83.0)     8-12   
 408 A Lowell                 MA 1          ( 7-12, 74.3)     9- 4   
 410 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (14- 6, 89.2)     4- 7   
 413 H Andover HS             MA 1          (18- 2, 90.9)     8-11   
 415 A Wakefield              MA 2          (10-11, 73.5)    12- 5   
 417 H Malden Catholic        MA 1          (15- 8, 88.0)     9- 8  o
 419 A Westford Academy       MA 1          ( 7-12, 79.2)     8- 7   
 422 A Salem                  MA 1          ( 9-10, 72.4)    11- 8   
 428 A Billerica              MA 1          (15- 6, 87.7)     6-13   
 504 H Haverhill              MA 1          (12- 7, 79.1)     9- 8   
 506 H Peabody                MA 1          (16- 6, 84.2)     6- 8   
 508 H Central Catholic       MA 2          (11- 9, 74.4)    16- 5   
 511 H Billerica              MA 1          (15- 6, 87.7)     5-11   
 517 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (10-10, 85.0)     8- 7   
 518 H Tyngsborough           MA 3          ( 5-11, 73.9)    14- 5   
 520 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          ( 1-16, 63.7)    14- 4   
 522 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (18- 4, 91.1)     6- 7   
 523 A Andover HS             MA 1          (18- 2, 90.9)     3-12   
 530 H Haverhill              MA 1          (12- 7, 79.1)    12- 7   
 602 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (19- 2, 92.7)     2-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Acton Boxborough        8-12      -4    -2          -1.80
   408 A Lowell                  9- 4       5     6          -1.56
   410 A St Johns Prep Danvers   4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.31
   413 H Andover HS              8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.49
   415 A Wakefield              12- 5       7     7          -0.38
   417 H Malden Catholic         9- 8  o    1    -5    +++    6.62
   419 A Westford Academy        8- 7       1     1          -0.66
   422 A Salem                  11- 8       3     8    --    -5.48
   428 A Billerica               6-13      -7    -6          -0.15
   504 H Haverhill               9- 8       1     3    -     -2.24
   506 H Peabody                 6- 8      -2    -1          -0.16
   508 H Central Catholic       16- 5      11     8           1.98
   511 H Billerica               5-11      -6    -5          -0.67
   517 H Boston College HS       8- 7       1    -2    +      3.66
   518 H Tyngsborough           14- 5       9     8           0.56
   520 A Tewksbury Memorial     14- 4      10    17           0.00
   522 H Xaverian Bros           6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.76
   523 A Andover HS              3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   530 H Haverhill              12- 7       5     3           1.76
   602 A Lincoln-Sudbury         2-12     -10   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Salem                  11- 8       3     8    --    -5.48
   504 H Haverhill               9- 8       1     3    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Malden Catholic         9- 8  o    1    -5    +++    6.62
   522 H Xaverian Bros           6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.76
   410 A St Johns Prep Danvers   4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.31
   413 H Andover HS              8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.49
   517 H Boston College HS       8- 7       1    -2    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.61 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.92 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/