Cordova                       5 - 6


 
   Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NorCal           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Messersmith      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   79.3369598    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 H Mira Loma              CA    NorCal  ( 0-13, 59.8)    11- 1   
 311 A Chico                  CA    NorCal  ( 7- 3, 83.4)     4-13   
 318 N Oak Ridge              CA    NorCal  (10- 4, 83.1)     6- 7   
 325 A Foothill-Sacramento    CA    NorCal  ( 2- 9, 66.8)     8- 3   
 401 H Foothill-Sacramento    CA    NorCal  ( 2- 9, 66.8)     8- 3   
 405 H Granite Bay            CA    NorCal  (11- 3, 85.2)     5-14   
 408 H Oak Ridge              CA    NorCal  (10- 4, 83.1)     4-11   
 421 A Davis                  CA    NorCal  ( 9- 4, 81.6)     2-14   
 422 A Granite Bay            CA    NorCal  (11- 3, 85.2)     3-17   
 429 A Mira Loma              CA    NorCal  ( 0-13, 59.8)    17- 1   
 507 A Santa Rosa             CA    NorCal  ( 6- 6, 75.4)     6- 5  o


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Mira Loma              11- 1      10    14           0.00
   311 A Chico                   4-13      -9    -9           0.53
   318 N Oak Ridge               6- 7      -1    -9    +++    8.21
   325 A Foothill-Sacramento     8- 3       5     7    -     -2.01
   401 H Foothill-Sacramento     8- 3       5     7    -     -2.14
   405 H Granite Bay             5-14      -9   -11           1.00
   408 H Oak Ridge               4-11      -7    -9    +      2.14
   421 A Davis                   2-14     -12    -7    -     -2.21
   422 A Granite Bay             3-17     -14   -11           0.00
   429 A Mira Loma              17- 1      16    14           0.00
   507 A Santa Rosa              6- 5  o    1    -1    +      2.53


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Foothill-Sacramento     8- 3       5     7    -     -2.01
   401 H Foothill-Sacramento     8- 3       5     7    -     -2.14
   421 A Davis                   2-14     -12    -7    -     -2.21


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 N Oak Ridge               6- 7      -1    -9    +++    8.21
   408 H Oak Ridge               4-11      -7    -9    +      2.14
   507 A Santa Rosa              6- 5  o    1    -1    +      2.53




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.89 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.00 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0


  
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