Region = PA Mid 1 Nickname = A Rams Coach = Jay NisleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.4235077 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 316 A Harrisburg Academy PA Mid 1 ( 3-13, 75.2) 11- 6 324 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (10- 9, 92.1) 6-15 328 A Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (15- 6, 93.3) 8-11 330 A Central Dauphin East PA Mid 1 ( 8- 5, 83.2) 5- 6 406 H Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 7-11, 79.1) 12- 3 408 H Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 9- 8, 85.2) 12- 4 411 H Hershey PA Mid 1 (13- 8, 86.8) 6- 7 o 413 H Harrisburg Academy PA Mid 1 ( 3-13, 75.2) 11- 2 420 A Central Susquehanna PA CSNLL ( 6-10, 79.5) 9- 4 427 A Lancaster Country Day PA LL04 (14- 7, 91.9) 6-12 429 H State College PA CSNLL (14- 9, 79.8) 6- 3 503 H Palmyra PA Mid 1 ( 4-11, 78.5) 11- 4 505 H Central Dauphin East PA Mid 1 ( 8- 5, 83.2) 15- 1 523 A Red Lion PA York 1 (11- 8, 87.6) 4-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 A Harrisburg Academy 11- 6 5 11 -- -5.00 324 A Carlisle 6-15 -9 -5 - -3.13 328 A Cumberland Valley 8-11 -3 -7 ++ 4.05 330 A Central Dauphin East 5- 6 -1 3 -- -4.03 406 H Bishop McDevitt 12- 3 9 8 0.09 408 H Lower Dauphin 12- 4 8 2 ++ 5.15 411 H Hershey 6- 7 o -1 1 - -2.27 413 H Harrisburg Academy 11- 2 9 12 -1.00 420 A Central Susquehanna 9- 4 5 6 -1.79 427 A Lancaster Country Day 6-12 -6 -5 -0.37 429 H State College 6- 3 3 8 -- -5.23 503 H Palmyra 11- 4 7 9 - -2.54 505 H Central Dauphin East 15- 1 14 4 ++ 5.18 523 A Red Lion 4-14 -10 -1 --- -8.63UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 A Red Lion 4-14 -10 -1 --- -8.63 316 A Harrisburg Academy 11- 6 5 11 -- -5.00 330 A Central Dauphin East 5- 6 -1 3 -- -4.03 429 H State College 6- 3 3 8 -- -5.23 324 A Carlisle 6-15 -9 -5 - -3.13 411 H Hershey 6- 7 o -1 1 - -2.27 503 H Palmyra 11- 4 7 9 - -2.54OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Cumberland Valley 8-11 -3 -7 ++ 4.05 408 H Lower Dauphin 12- 4 8 2 ++ 5.15 505 H Central Dauphin East 15- 1 14 4 ++ 5.18/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.14 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 64.52 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7