Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Bobcats Coach = Mike GallupGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.4478455 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Weston CT S (13- 6, 84.2) 7-14 408 A Fairfield-Ludlowe CT S (11-10, 81.5) 4- 8 411 A New Milford CT L (17- 4, 84.7) 12-13 412 A Farmington CT M ( 9- 8, 74.0) 9-12 418 H Bethel CT M ( 0-14, 71.5) 1- 0 419 A Trumbull CT L (13- 6, 84.7) 2-13 422 A Housatonic Valley CT S ( 5-11, 65.6) 17- 4 425 H Barlow-Redding CT M (17- 4, 90.3) 7-17 427 A St Joseph-Trumbull CT S (10- 9, 82.6) 5-16 429 H Old Lyme CT S (13- 5, 78.9) 10- 7 502 H Pomperaug-Southbury CT M ( 6-10, 69.5) 11- 7 504 A New Fairfield CT S (11- 9, 79.6) 6- 7 509 H Masuk-Monroe CT M ( 5-11, 71.2) 14-10 511 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 6-10, 70.1) 10- 5 516 H Newtown CT L ( 6-11, 74.9) 13- 5 518 H Immaculate Danbury CT S ( 5- 8, 73.3) 10- 4 523 A New Fairfield CT S (11- 9, 79.6) 5-11 603 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk CT M (16- 4, 92.4) 1-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Weston 7-14 -7 -6 -0.10 408 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 4- 8 -4 -6 + 2.71 411 A New Milford 12-13 -1 -9 +++ 8.90 412 A Farmington 9-12 -3 0 - -3.84 419 A Trumbull 2-13 -11 -9 -0.12 422 A Housatonic Valley 17- 4 13 9 0.83 425 H Barlow-Redding 7-17 -10 -13 0.00 427 A St Joseph-Trumbull 5-16 -11 -7 - -2.21 429 H Old Lyme 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.62 502 H Pomperaug-Southbury 11- 7 4 7 - -3.73 504 A New Fairfield 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.81 509 H Masuk-Monroe 14-10 4 6 - -2.07 511 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 10- 5 5 7 - -2.19 516 H Newtown 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.64 518 H Immaculate Danbury 10- 4 6 3 + 2.05 523 A New Fairfield 5-11 -6 -4 -1.19 603 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk 1-17 -16 -17 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Farmington 9-12 -3 0 - -3.84 427 A St Joseph-Trumbull 5-16 -11 -7 - -2.21 502 H Pomperaug-Southbury 11- 7 4 7 - -3.73 509 H Masuk-Monroe 14-10 4 6 - -2.07 511 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 10- 5 5 7 - -2.19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A New Milford 12-13 -1 -9 +++ 8.90 429 H Old Lyme 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.62 516 H Newtown 13- 5 8 2 ++ 5.64 408 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 4- 8 -4 -6 + 2.71 504 A New Fairfield 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.81 518 H Immaculate Danbury 10- 4 6 3 + 2.05/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.03 Local Power Rank........... 37 Local SOS Rating......... 55.04 Local SOS Rank............. 33 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 12 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 41 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3