Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Barons               Coach  =   Mark McMillan         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7646179    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 79.8)     3-10   
 401 N Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 4, 92.3)     1-15   
 406 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 9, 85.3)    10-11   
 411 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 88.1)    10- 9   
 415 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10-10, 85.8)    12-10   
 418 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 82.0)    11- 6   
 420 A Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 81.6)     9- 6   
 422 H Newark                 NY C  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 75.6)    12- 5   
 425 A Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 7, 81.9)    12- 8   
 427 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 77.0)    12- 1   
 502 A Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 73.0)    12- 7   
 506 H Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (13- 8, 89.9)     6- 5   
 509 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (14- 4, 92.3)     5-14   
 511 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 88.1)     9-14   
 516 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-11, 77.0)    15- 7   
 518 H Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 73.0)     9- 5   
 530 N Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10-10, 85.8)    11-10   
 602 N Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (13- 8, 89.9)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Pittsford               3-10      -7     6    ---  -13.14
   401 N Webster Thomas          1-15     -14    -6    -     -3.06
   406 A McQuaid Jesuit         10-11      -1     0          -0.43
   411 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.30
   415 H Victor                 12-10       2     0           1.86
   418 H Spencerport            11- 6       5     3           1.06
   420 A Aquinas Institute       9- 6       3     3          -0.20
   422 H Newark                 12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   425 A Churchville-Chili      12- 8       4     2           1.14
   427 H Hilton                 12- 1      11     8           1.07
   502 A Eastridge              12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   506 H Geneva                  6- 5       1    -3    ++     4.98
   509 H Webster Thomas          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.66
   511 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.90
   516 A Hilton                 15- 7       8     7           0.27
   518 H Eastridge               9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   530 N Victor                 11-10       1     0           1.45
   602 N Geneva                  3-11      -8    -4    -     -3.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Pittsford               3-10      -7     6    ---  -13.14
   518 H Eastridge               9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   502 A Eastridge              12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   401 N Webster Thomas          1-15     -14    -6    -     -3.06
   422 H Newark                 12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   509 H Webster Thomas          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.66
   511 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.90
   602 N Geneva                  3-11      -8    -4    -     -3.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.30
   506 H Geneva                  6- 5       1    -3    ++     4.98
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.37 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.89 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/