Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Hornets              Coach  =   Brian Adkins          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6215515    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Hall-West Hartford     CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.6)    10- 7   
 411 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 8-10, 76.1)    15- 5   
 413 A Guilford               CT M          ( 8-10, 78.9)    11- 5   
 415 H Newtown                CT L          ( 6-11, 74.9)    14- 7   
 418 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.0)    16- 5   
 422 A New Fairfield          CT S          (11- 9, 79.6)    14-12   
 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT S          (11-10, 81.5)    10- 9   
 502 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (20- 3, 95.1)     7-15   
 504 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (16- 7, 90.1)     7-13   
 506 H East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 84.4)    17-13   
 509 A South Windsor          CT L          ( 8-10, 79.3)    12- 7   
 513 H Southington            CT L          ( 7-11, 80.8)    10-12   
 516 H Xavier-Middletown      CT L          (11- 6, 83.4)    14- 6   
 518 H Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 9-11, 81.7)     9- 7   
 522 A Conard-West Hartford   CT M          ( 6-10, 79.1)    11- 6   
 525 A Simsbury               CT L          (14- 6, 83.6)     6- 8   
 527 N Amity Regional         CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.0)    17- 5   
 530 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (16- 7, 90.1)     7-15   
 603 H Wilton                 CT M          (12- 8, 90.3)     8-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Hall-West Hartford     10- 7       3     7    --    -4.38
   411 H Hamden                 15- 5      10    10           0.00
   413 A Guilford               11- 5       6     5           0.29
   415 H Newtown                14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   418 H Amity Regional         16- 5      11     8           1.94
   422 A New Fairfield          14-12       2     4    -     -2.96
   427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      10- 9       1     3    -     -2.05
   502 A Daniel Hand-Madison     7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   504 H Fairfield Prep          7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.89
   506 H East Lyme              17-13       4     2           1.36
   509 A South Windsor          12- 7       5     5          -0.22
   513 H Southington            10-12      -2     6    ---   -8.24
   516 H Xavier-Middletown      14- 6       8     3    ++     4.40
   518 H Cheshire HS             9- 7       2     5    -     -3.29
   522 A Conard-West Hartford   11- 6       5     5          -0.48
   525 A Simsbury                6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.99
   527 N Amity Regional         17- 5      12     6    +      3.17
   530 A Fairfield Prep          7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.43
   603 H Wilton                  8-19     -11    -3    ---   -6.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Southington            10-12      -2     6    ---   -8.24
   603 H Wilton                  8-19     -11    -3    ---   -6.68
   405 H Hall-West Hartford     10- 7       3     7    --    -4.38
   415 H Newtown                14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   422 A New Fairfield          14-12       2     4    -     -2.96
   427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      10- 9       1     3    -     -2.05
   504 H Fairfield Prep          7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.89
   518 H Cheshire HS             9- 7       2     5    -     -3.29
   525 A Simsbury                6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.99
   530 A Fairfield Prep          7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Xavier-Middletown      14- 6       8     3    ++     4.40
   502 A Daniel Hand-Madison     7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   527 N Amity Regional         17- 5      12     6    +      3.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.79 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.21 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
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