Conf = SCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Hornets Coach = Brian AdkinsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.6215515 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Hall-West Hartford CT L ( 8- 9, 79.6) 10- 7 411 H Hamden CT L ( 8-10, 76.1) 15- 5 413 A Guilford CT M ( 8-10, 78.9) 11- 5 415 H Newtown CT L ( 6-11, 74.9) 14- 7 418 H Amity Regional CT L ( 8- 9, 79.0) 16- 5 422 A New Fairfield CT S (11- 9, 79.6) 14-12 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe CT S (11-10, 81.5) 10- 9 502 A Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (20- 3, 95.1) 7-15 504 H Fairfield Prep CT L (16- 7, 90.1) 7-13 506 H East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 84.4) 17-13 509 A South Windsor CT L ( 8-10, 79.3) 12- 7 513 H Southington CT L ( 7-11, 80.8) 10-12 516 H Xavier-Middletown CT L (11- 6, 83.4) 14- 6 518 H Cheshire HS CT L ( 9-11, 81.7) 9- 7 522 A Conard-West Hartford CT M ( 6-10, 79.1) 11- 6 525 A Simsbury CT L (14- 6, 83.6) 6- 8 527 N Amity Regional CT L ( 8- 9, 79.0) 17- 5 530 A Fairfield Prep CT L (16- 7, 90.1) 7-15 603 H Wilton CT M (12- 8, 90.3) 8-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Hall-West Hartford 10- 7 3 7 -- -4.38 411 H Hamden 15- 5 10 10 0.00 413 A Guilford 11- 5 6 5 0.29 415 H Newtown 14- 7 7 12 - -3.00 418 H Amity Regional 16- 5 11 8 1.94 422 A New Fairfield 14-12 2 4 - -2.96 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 10- 9 1 3 - -2.05 502 A Daniel Hand-Madison 7-15 -8 -10 + 2.00 504 H Fairfield Prep 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.89 506 H East Lyme 17-13 4 2 1.36 509 A South Windsor 12- 7 5 5 -0.22 513 H Southington 10-12 -2 6 --- -8.24 516 H Xavier-Middletown 14- 6 8 3 ++ 4.40 518 H Cheshire HS 9- 7 2 5 - -3.29 522 A Conard-West Hartford 11- 6 5 5 -0.48 525 A Simsbury 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.99 527 N Amity Regional 17- 5 12 6 + 3.17 530 A Fairfield Prep 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.43 603 H Wilton 8-19 -11 -3 --- -6.68UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 H Southington 10-12 -2 6 --- -8.24 603 H Wilton 8-19 -11 -3 --- -6.68 405 H Hall-West Hartford 10- 7 3 7 -- -4.38 415 H Newtown 14- 7 7 12 - -3.00 422 A New Fairfield 14-12 2 4 - -2.96 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe 10- 9 1 3 - -2.05 504 H Fairfield Prep 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.89 518 H Cheshire HS 9- 7 2 5 - -3.29 525 A Simsbury 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.99 530 A Fairfield Prep 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.43OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 H Xavier-Middletown 14- 6 8 3 ++ 4.40 502 A Daniel Hand-Madison 7-15 -8 -10 + 2.00 527 N Amity Regional 17- 5 12 6 + 3.17/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.79 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 62.21 Local SOS Rank............. 14 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 11 Local Quality Win Rating. 0.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 17 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3