Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Scott Faulkner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.3423920    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Whitney Point          NY C  Sec 4   ( 1-18, 72.4)    15- 0   
 324 A Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   ( 2-17, 76.0)    13- 2   
 327 H Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   (15- 6, 90.6)    13- 2   
 329 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 89.2)    12- 7   
 401 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-12, 86.9)    14-10   
 406 H Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 97.0)     6- 7  o
 411 A Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 2-16, 80.5)     8- 1   
 417 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 90.8)     7- 3   
 419 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     8- 9   
 421 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-12, 88.4)    13-11   
 425 H Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 87.9)    13- 4   
 427 A Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (18- 3, 99.9)     3- 4   
 504 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 97.0)     8- 6   
 509 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 2-16, 80.5)    15- 2   
 511 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 90.8)    11- 5   
 516 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-12, 88.4)    11- 6   
 518 A Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   ( 9-10, 87.9)    11-10   
 523 H Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (18- 3, 99.9)     7- 8   
 531 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-12, 88.4)    11- 7   
 602 N Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 97.0)     8- 5   
 606 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (19- 5, 98.1)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Whitney Point          15- 0      15    23           0.00
   324 A Maine-Endwell          13- 2      11    20           0.00
   327 H Owego Free Academy     13- 2      11     8           1.69
   329 H Liverpool              12- 7       5     9          n/a  
   401 A Corcoran               14-10       4     9          n/a  
   406 H Vestal                  6- 7  o   -1     1    -     -2.93
   411 A Union-Endicott          8- 1       7    15    -     -3.00
   417 H Ithaca                  7- 3       4     8    --    -4.17
   419 H Penfield                8- 9      -1    -1          n/a  
   421 A Horseheads             13-11       2     7    --    -5.79
   425 H Corning West           13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   427 A Corning East            3- 4      -1    -3    +      2.71
   504 A Vestal                  8- 6       2     0    +      2.82
   509 H Union-Endicott         15- 2      13    18           0.00
   511 A Ithaca                 11- 5       6     5           0.58
   516 H Horseheads             11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   518 A Corning West           11-10       1     8    ---   -7.28
   523 H Corning East            7- 8      -1     0          -0.04
   531 H Horseheads             11- 7       4    10    ---   -6.00
   602 N Vestal                  8- 5       3     0    +      2.44
   606 N West Genesee            5-13      -8     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Corning West           11-10       1     8    ---   -7.28
   531 H Horseheads             11- 7       4    10    ---   -6.00
   606 N West Genesee            5-13      -8     0    ---        
   329 H Liverpool              12- 7       5     9    --         
   401 A Corcoran               14-10       4     9    --         
   417 H Ithaca                  7- 3       4     8    --    -4.17
   421 A Horseheads             13-11       2     7    --    -5.79
   516 H Horseheads             11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   406 H Vestal                  6- 7  o   -1     1    -     -2.93
   411 A Union-Endicott          8- 1       7    15    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Corning East            3- 4      -1    -3    +      2.71
   504 A Vestal                  8- 6       2     0    +      2.82
   602 N Vestal                  8- 5       3     0    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.57 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.62 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.275.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/