Beaver Country Day            3 - 8


 
                                     Region = NE    East-2           
   Nickname = A Mariners             Coach  =   Larry McKinney        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   78.2042389    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Concord Academy        NE    East-2  ( 6- 4, 77.9)     4-14   
 410 H Gann Academy           NE    East-2  ( 1- 6, 61.6)    15- 6   
 411 H Bancroft               NE    East-2  ( 8- 4, 80.8)     5- 7   
 419 H Berwick                NE    East-2  ( 7- 6, 83.1)     1-13   
 426 A Chapel Hill CH         NE    East-2  ( 5- 9, 68.2)     7-13   
 501 A Pingree                NE    East-2  (10- 6, 87.5)     0-12   
 505 A Landmark School        NE    East-2  ( 3- 8, 70.4)    13- 8   
 510 A Concord Academy        NE    East-2  ( 6- 4, 77.9)     5-11   
 512 A Portsmouth Abbey       NE    SEast-1 ( 9- 6, 89.9)     3-15   
 517 H Landmark School        NE    East-2  ( 3- 8, 70.4)    16- 6   
 519 A Lexington Christian    NE    East-2  ( 5- 4, 75.4)     5- 6   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Concord Academy         4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.84
   410 H Gann Academy           15- 6       9    10          -1.00
   411 H Bancroft                5- 7      -2    -9    +++    7.04
   419 H Berwick                 1-13     -12   -11           0.00
   426 A Chapel Hill CH          7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.34
   501 A Pingree                 0-12     -12   -16           0.00
   505 A Landmark School        13- 8       5     0    ++     4.82
   510 A Concord Academy         5-11      -6    -7           1.36
   512 A Portsmouth Abbey        3-15     -12   -19           0.00
   517 H Landmark School        16- 6      10     1    +++    8.62
   519 A Lexington Christian     5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.81


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Chapel Hill CH          7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.34
   407 H Concord Academy         4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.84


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Bancroft                5- 7      -2    -9    +++    7.04
   517 H Landmark School        16- 6      10     1    +++    8.62
   505 A Landmark School        13- 8       5     0    ++     4.82
   519 A Lexington Christian     5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.81




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.17 Local Power Rank...........    59
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.53 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    55
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    59
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0


  
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