Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   John Distler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.9423828    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Ridgefield             CT M          (11- 7, 88.0)     7- 6 2o
 411 H Newtown                CT L          ( 6-11, 74.9)    14- 2   
 415 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (20- 3, 95.1)     7-15   
 418 H Wilton                 CT M          (12- 8, 90.3)     9- 8  o
 421 A New Canaan             CT M          (14- 6, 89.8)     3- 5   
 425 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 76.0)    17- 7   
 427 A Pomperaug-Southbury    CT M          ( 6-10, 69.5)    18- 3   
 501 A Bethel                 CT M          ( 0-14, 71.5)     1- 0   
 502 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 6-10, 70.1)    14- 0   
 504 A Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 5-11, 71.2)    17- 2   
 509 H New Milford            CT L          (17- 4, 84.7)    16- 4   
 516 A New Fairfield          CT S          (11- 9, 79.6)     7- 5   
 517 A Glastonbury            CT L          (14- 4, 87.4)     4- 6   
 518 H Weston                 CT S          (13- 6, 84.2)    13- 5   
 520 H Simsbury               CT L          (14- 6, 83.6)    15- 3   
 522 H Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 5- 8, 73.3)    12- 3   
 525 H New Fairfield          CT S          (11- 9, 79.6)    19-10   
 531 N New Milford            CT L          (17- 4, 84.7)    19- 8   
 603 H Guilford               CT M          ( 8-10, 78.9)    15- 6   
 606 N East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 84.4)    13- 8   
 608 N Darien                 CT M          (21- 1, 99.9)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Ridgefield              7- 6 2o    1     3    -     -2.57
   411 H Newtown                14- 2      12    16           0.00
   415 H Daniel Hand-Madison     7-15      -8    -3    --    -4.48
   418 H Wilton                  9- 8  o    1     1          -0.24
   421 A New Canaan              3- 5      -2     0          -1.33
   425 A Brookfield             17- 7      10    13           0.00
   427 A Pomperaug-Southbury    18- 3      15    19           0.00
   502 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   14- 0      14    21           0.00
   504 A Masuk-Monroe           17- 2      15    17           0.00
   509 H New Milford            16- 4      12     6    +      3.11
   516 A New Fairfield           7- 5       2     9    ---   -7.51
   517 A Glastonbury             4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.69
   518 H Weston                 13- 5       8     7           0.58
   520 H Simsbury               15- 3      12     8           1.98
   522 H Immaculate Danbury     12- 3       9    18          -1.00
   525 H New Fairfield          19-10       9    11          -1.00
   531 N New Milford            19- 8      11     5    ++     4.34
   603 H Guilford               15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   606 N East Lyme              13- 8       5     5          -0.96
   608 N Darien                  8-15      -7    -9    +      2.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A New Fairfield           7- 5       2     9    ---   -7.51
   415 H Daniel Hand-Madison     7-15      -8    -3    --    -4.48
   408 H Ridgefield              7- 6 2o    1     3    -     -2.57
   517 A Glastonbury             4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   531 N New Milford            19- 8      11     5    ++     4.34
   509 H New Milford            16- 4      12     6    +      3.11
   608 N Darien                  8-15      -7    -9    +      2.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.35 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.57 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/