Conf = SWCIAC Region = CT M Nickname = T Falcons Coach = John DistlerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.9423828 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 408 H Ridgefield CT M (11- 7, 88.0) 7- 6 2o 411 H Newtown CT L ( 6-11, 74.9) 14- 2 415 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (20- 3, 95.1) 7-15 418 H Wilton CT M (12- 8, 90.3) 9- 8 o 421 A New Canaan CT M (14- 6, 89.8) 3- 5 425 A Brookfield CT M ( 8-10, 76.0) 17- 7 427 A Pomperaug-Southbury CT M ( 6-10, 69.5) 18- 3 501 A Bethel CT M ( 0-14, 71.5) 1- 0 502 H Notre Dame-Fairfield CT S ( 6-10, 70.1) 14- 0 504 A Masuk-Monroe CT M ( 5-11, 71.2) 17- 2 509 H New Milford CT L (17- 4, 84.7) 16- 4 516 A New Fairfield CT S (11- 9, 79.6) 7- 5 517 A Glastonbury CT L (14- 4, 87.4) 4- 6 518 H Weston CT S (13- 6, 84.2) 13- 5 520 H Simsbury CT L (14- 6, 83.6) 15- 3 522 H Immaculate Danbury CT S ( 5- 8, 73.3) 12- 3 525 H New Fairfield CT S (11- 9, 79.6) 19-10 531 N New Milford CT L (17- 4, 84.7) 19- 8 603 H Guilford CT M ( 8-10, 78.9) 15- 6 606 N East Lyme CT M (16- 4, 84.4) 13- 8 608 N Darien CT M (21- 1, 99.9) 8-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Ridgefield 7- 6 2o 1 3 - -2.57 411 H Newtown 14- 2 12 16 0.00 415 H Daniel Hand-Madison 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.48 418 H Wilton 9- 8 o 1 1 -0.24 421 A New Canaan 3- 5 -2 0 -1.33 425 A Brookfield 17- 7 10 13 0.00 427 A Pomperaug-Southbury 18- 3 15 19 0.00 502 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 14- 0 14 21 0.00 504 A Masuk-Monroe 17- 2 15 17 0.00 509 H New Milford 16- 4 12 6 + 3.11 516 A New Fairfield 7- 5 2 9 --- -7.51 517 A Glastonbury 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.69 518 H Weston 13- 5 8 7 0.58 520 H Simsbury 15- 3 12 8 1.98 522 H Immaculate Danbury 12- 3 9 18 -1.00 525 H New Fairfield 19-10 9 11 -1.00 531 N New Milford 19- 8 11 5 ++ 4.34 603 H Guilford 15- 6 9 12 -1.00 606 N East Lyme 13- 8 5 5 -0.96 608 N Darien 8-15 -7 -9 + 2.55UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A New Fairfield 7- 5 2 9 --- -7.51 415 H Daniel Hand-Madison 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.48 408 H Ridgefield 7- 6 2o 1 3 - -2.57 517 A Glastonbury 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 531 N New Milford 19- 8 11 5 ++ 4.34 509 H New Milford 16- 4 12 6 + 3.11 608 N Darien 8-15 -7 -9 + 2.55/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.35 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 61.57 Local SOS Rank............. 16 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3