Conf = NWCIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Gene MaceyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.0906067 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 A Farmington CT M ( 9- 8, 74.0) 5- 4 408 A Hall-West Hartford CT L ( 8- 9, 79.6) 3-11 411 A Old Lyme CT S (13- 5, 78.9) 6- 9 420 H Simsbury CT L (14- 6, 83.6) 4-15 422 A North Haven CT M ( 8- 9, 74.4) 9- 6 425 A Somers CT S (18- 2, 88.5) 6-15 429 H New Milford CT L (17- 4, 84.7) 10-16 502 H Northwest Catholic CT S (10- 9, 77.0) 5- 4 2o 505 H Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 8-10, 69.7) 18- 5 509 H Suffield HS CT S ( 6-11, 67.7) 17- 7 511 H Stonington CT S ( 9- 8, 71.3) 18- 7 518 A New Fairfield CT S (11- 9, 79.6) 7-14 522 A Windsor CT M ( 8- 9, 76.0) 11- 5 523 A Ellington CT S (10- 7, 70.3) 14- 5 524 A Tolland CT S (10- 8, 70.9) 14- 4 525 H Granby CT S ( 5-10, 67.3) 12- 2 530 H Suffield HS CT S ( 6-11, 67.7) 18- 7 605 H Immaculate Danbury CT S ( 5- 8, 73.3) 9- 8 606 H St Joseph-Trumbull CT S (10- 9, 82.6) 11-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Farmington 5- 4 1 3 - -2.47 408 A Hall-West Hartford 3-11 -8 -2 -- -5.78 411 A Old Lyme 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.55 420 H Simsbury 4-15 -11 -3 --- -6.33 422 A North Haven 9- 6 3 3 -0.05 425 A Somers 6-15 -9 -11 1.00 429 H New Milford 10-16 -6 -4 -1.21 502 H Northwest Catholic 5- 4 2o 1 2 -1.87 505 H Norwich Free Academy 18- 5 13 10 0.00 509 H Suffield HS 17- 7 10 12 0.00 511 H Stonington 18- 7 11 8 1.44 518 A New Fairfield 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.83 522 A Windsor 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.53 523 A Ellington 14- 5 9 7 1.82 524 A Tolland 14- 4 10 6 + 3.46 525 H Granby 12- 2 10 12 0.00 530 H Suffield HS 18- 7 11 12 0.00 605 H Immaculate Danbury 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.59 606 H St Joseph-Trumbull 11-12 -1 -2 1.68UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Simsbury 4-15 -11 -3 --- -6.33 408 A Hall-West Hartford 3-11 -8 -2 -- -5.78 518 A New Fairfield 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.83 605 H Immaculate Danbury 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.59 406 A Farmington 5- 4 1 3 - -2.47OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 A Windsor 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.53 524 A Tolland 14- 4 10 6 + 3.46/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.66 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 50.37 Local SOS Rank............. 42 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 21 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 28 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7