Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Gene Macey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.0906067    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Farmington             CT M          ( 9- 8, 74.0)     5- 4   
 408 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          ( 8- 9, 79.6)     3-11   
 411 A Old Lyme               CT S          (13- 5, 78.9)     6- 9   
 420 H Simsbury               CT L          (14- 6, 83.6)     4-15   
 422 A North Haven            CT M          ( 8- 9, 74.4)     9- 6   
 425 A Somers                 CT S          (18- 2, 88.5)     6-15   
 429 H New Milford            CT L          (17- 4, 84.7)    10-16   
 502 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (10- 9, 77.0)     5- 4 2o
 505 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 8-10, 69.7)    18- 5   
 509 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 6-11, 67.7)    17- 7   
 511 H Stonington             CT S          ( 9- 8, 71.3)    18- 7   
 518 A New Fairfield          CT S          (11- 9, 79.6)     7-14   
 522 A Windsor                CT M          ( 8- 9, 76.0)    11- 5   
 523 A Ellington              CT S          (10- 7, 70.3)    14- 5   
 524 A Tolland                CT S          (10- 8, 70.9)    14- 4   
 525 H Granby                 CT S          ( 5-10, 67.3)    12- 2   
 530 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 6-11, 67.7)    18- 7   
 605 H Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 5- 8, 73.3)     9- 8   
 606 H St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (10- 9, 82.6)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Farmington              5- 4       1     3    -     -2.47
   408 A Hall-West Hartford      3-11      -8    -2    --    -5.78
   411 A Old Lyme                6- 9      -3    -1          -1.55
   420 H Simsbury                4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.33
   422 A North Haven             9- 6       3     3          -0.05
   425 A Somers                  6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   429 H New Milford            10-16      -6    -4          -1.21
   502 H Northwest Catholic      5- 4 2o    1     2          -1.87
   505 H Norwich Free Academy   18- 5      13    10           0.00
   509 H Suffield HS            17- 7      10    12           0.00
   511 H Stonington             18- 7      11     8           1.44
   518 A New Fairfield           7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.83
   522 A Windsor                11- 5       6     1    ++     4.53
   523 A Ellington              14- 5       9     7           1.82
   524 A Tolland                14- 4      10     6    +      3.46
   525 H Granby                 12- 2      10    12           0.00
   530 H Suffield HS            18- 7      11    12           0.00
   605 H Immaculate Danbury      9- 8       1     6    --    -5.59
   606 H St Joseph-Trumbull     11-12      -1    -2           1.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Simsbury                4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.33
   408 A Hall-West Hartford      3-11      -8    -2    --    -5.78
   518 A New Fairfield           7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.83
   605 H Immaculate Danbury      9- 8       1     6    --    -5.59
   406 A Farmington              5- 4       1     3    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Windsor                11- 5       6     1    ++     4.53
   524 A Tolland                14- 4      10     6    +      3.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.66 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.37 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/