Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Rick Weber            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9832153    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 7- 8, 88.0)     4-11   
 301 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (17- 4, 99.9)     2-15   
 303 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (15- 9, 93.3)     7-13   
 310 A W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 8- 9, 83.7)     5-10   
 311 H Southlake Carroll I    TX 1  North   (11- 7, 92.8)     1-16   
 314 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (21- 3, 99.6)     1-13   
 317 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (20- 3, 94.5)     3- 6   
 324 A Cary HS                NC    4A      (15- 5, 91.1)     5-11   
 404 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.7)    11- 3   
 406 H Green Hope             NC    4A      (12- 6, 92.3)     3-10   
 411 A Apex                   NC    4A      (17- 3, 97.8)     5-13   
 417 A SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      ( 4-10, 77.0)    10- 3   
 418 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 9-10, 91.7)     3-13   
 421 H Cary HS                NC    4A      (15- 5, 91.1)     3-16   
 425 A Green Hope             NC    4A      (12- 6, 92.3)     6-12   
 428 A Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.7)    12- 3   
 502 H Apex                   NC    4A      (17- 3, 97.8)     4-17   
 505 A Wakefield-Raleigh      NC    4A      (10- 7, 88.4)     9-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Wilmington Laney        4-11      -7    -8           1.76
   301 H East Chapel Hill        2-15     -13   -20           0.00
   303 H Durham Jordan           7-13      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   310 A W.G. Enloe              5-10      -5    -4          -0.52
   311 H Southlake Carroll I     1-16     -15   -12          n/a  
   314 A Chapel Hill             1-13     -12   -20           0.00
   317 H Cardinal Gibbons        3- 6      -3   -14    +++    7.00
   324 A Cary HS                 5-11      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   404 H Cary-Middle Creek      11- 3       8     8          -0.05
   406 H Green Hope              3-10      -7   -12    +      3.00
   411 A Apex                    5-13      -8   -18    +      2.00
   417 A SouthEast Raleigh      10- 3       7     2    ++     4.79
   418 A Durham Riverside        3-13     -10   -12           0.00
   421 H Cary HS                 3-16     -13   -11           0.00
   425 A Green Hope              6-12      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   428 A Cary-Middle Creek      12- 3       9     7           1.52
   502 H Apex                    4-17     -13   -18           0.00
   505 A Wakefield-Raleigh       9-19     -10    -9          -0.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Cardinal Gibbons        3- 6      -3   -14    +++    7.00
   303 H Durham Jordan           7-13      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   324 A Cary HS                 5-11      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   417 A SouthEast Raleigh      10- 3       7     2    ++     4.79
   425 A Green Hope              6-12      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   406 H Green Hope              3-10      -7   -12    +      3.00
   411 A Apex                    5-13      -8   -18    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.50 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.42 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/