Armstrong                     7 - 3


 
                                     Region = MN    LakeCl           
   Nickname = N Falcons              Coach  =   Ross Brower           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.1310883    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 412 A Benilde St. Margaret   MN    TriMet  (11- 2, 95.0)     0-10   
 415 H Rochester              MN    South   ( 6- 7, 79.9)     7- 6   
 417 A Minneapolis            MN    Lake-2  ( 4- 6, 82.8)     5- 4   
 425 A Minnetonka             MN    LakeCl  ( 8- 5, 87.3)     6-12   
 427 A Bloom Jefferson        MN    Lake-1  ( 7- 6, 85.2)    11- 5   
 503 A Maple Grove            MN    NW-Sub  ( 4- 6, 75.7)    11- 2   
 509 H Wayzata                MN    LakeCl  ( 7- 4, 87.7)     8- 6   
 511 H Hopkins                MN    LakeCl  (10- 6, 87.4)     4- 3   
 515 A Edina                  MN    LakeCl  (10- 2, 92.6)     5- 7   
 518 A Cooper                 MN    LakeCl  ( 2- 7, 75.2)    11- 3   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Benilde St. Margaret    0-10     -10    -7    -     -2.24
   415 H Rochester               7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.37
   417 A Minneapolis             5- 4       1     4    -     -3.45
   425 A Minnetonka              6-12      -6     0    --    -5.92
   427 A Bloom Jefferson        11- 5       6     2    +      3.95
   503 A Maple Grove            11- 2       9    11          -1.00
   509 H Wayzata                 8- 6       2     0    +      2.42
   511 H Hopkins                 4- 3       1     0           1.12
   515 A Edina                   5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.32
   518 A Cooper                 11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Rochester               7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.37
   425 A Minnetonka              6-12      -6     0    --    -5.92
   412 A Benilde St. Margaret    0-10     -10    -7    -     -2.24
   417 A Minneapolis             5- 4       1     4    -     -3.45
   518 A Cooper                 11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Bloom Jefferson        11- 5       6     2    +      3.95
   509 H Wayzata                 8- 6       2     0    +      2.42
   515 A Edina                   5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.32




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.27 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.06 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3


  
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