Region = VA    Natl             
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Jon Reynolds          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2204056    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H South Lakes            VA    Lib     ( 2-10, 74.3)    12- 1   
 316 A West Potomac           VA    Patr    ( 2-11, 79.5)    13- 9   
 322 N Plymouth-Whitemarsh    PA    BuxMon  (14- 5, 79.5)    18- 5   
 324 N Noble & Greenough      NE    ISL     (14- 2, 99.9)     4-12   
 331 H Chantilly              VA    Conc    ( 7- 7, 87.3)     9- 8   
 404 A Thos Jefferson         VA    Conc    ( 8- 9, 88.4)     9-10  o
 412 A Mount Vernon           VA    Natl    (14- 2, 93.2)     7-12   
 416 H Edison                 VA    Natl    ( 2-13, 71.5)    13- 0   
 419 A Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 8- 7, 83.2)    12- 2   
 421 H T.C. Williams          VA    Patr    (10- 5, 88.9)     3- 5   
 429 H Wakefield HS           VA    Natl    ( 0-13, 64.7)    14- 0   
 502 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 7- 7, 77.0)    19- 2   
 504 A Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 2-10, 71.1)    19- 3   
 509 H Wakefield HS           VA    Natl    ( 0-13, 64.7)    15- 1   
 511 N Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 8- 7, 83.2)     8- 7   
 516 N Mount Vernon           VA    Natl    (14- 2, 93.2)     5- 8   
 519 H Lake Braddock          VA    Patr    ( 9- 6, 91.8)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H South Lakes            12- 1      11    15           0.00
   316 A West Potomac           13- 9       4     8    --    -4.49
   322 N Plymouth-Whitemarsh    18- 5      13     9          n/a  
   324 N Noble & Greenough       4-12      -8   -10          n/a  
   331 H Chantilly               9- 8       1     2          -1.86
   404 A Thos Jefferson          9-10  o   -1     0          -0.57
   412 A Mount Vernon            7-12      -5    -5           0.25
   416 H Edison                 13- 0      13    18           0.00
   419 A Falls Church           12- 2      10     4    ++     5.26
   421 H T.C. Williams           3- 5      -2     1    -     -3.33
   429 H Wakefield HS           14- 0      14    25           0.00
   502 A J.E.B. Stuart          19- 2      17    10           0.00
   504 A Washington-Lee         19- 3      16    16           0.00
   509 H Wakefield HS           15- 1      14    25           0.00
   511 N Falls Church            8- 7       1     5    --    -4.84
   516 N Mount Vernon            5- 8      -3    -4           1.15
   519 H Lake Braddock           6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A West Potomac           13- 9       4     8    --    -4.49
   511 N Falls Church            8- 7       1     5    --    -4.84
   421 H T.C. Williams           3- 5      -2     1    -     -3.33
   519 H Lake Braddock           6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Falls Church           12- 2      10     4    ++     5.26
   324 N Noble & Greenough       4-12      -8   -10    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.09 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.34 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/