Region = CT 1  SCIAC            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Joe Montini           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.1314240    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 87.5)     6-18   
 409 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 87.2)     8- 5   
 413 H Fitch-Groton           CT 2  ECIAC   (12- 7, 90.3)     7- 5   
 415 A Conard-West Hartford   CT 1  CCIAC   (11- 7, 84.0)     4-15   
 421 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (18- 3, 94.0)     5-16   
 422 H Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 79.9)    15- 2   
 426 H Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   (10- 8, 89.0)    10- 5   
 428 A Shelton                CT 2  SCIAC   ( 1-14, 74.5)    16- 1   
 505 H Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 83.9)     9- 8   
 509 H North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 5-13, 82.3)    11- 5   
 510 A East Lyme              CT 1  ECIAC   ( 9- 9, 81.2)    14- 9   
 512 H Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (17- 2, 92.7)     3-14   
 517 A West Haven             CT 2  SCIAC   ( 6-11, 83.7)    11-10   
 520 A Cheshire HS            CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8-10, 81.5)     3-13   
 523 A St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-12, 75.4)    22- 2   
 526 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8- 9, 81.2)    14-11   
 602 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8- 9, 81.2)     9- 7   
 604 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (18- 3, 94.0)     5-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Fairfield Prep          6-18     -12    -5    --    -4.68
   409 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    8- 5       3    -2          n/a  
   413 H Fitch-Groton            7- 5       2    -5          n/a  
   415 A Conard-West Hartford    4-15     -11    -1    ---   -8.17
   421 A Daniel Hand-Madison     5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   422 H Norwich Free Academy   15- 2      13     4          n/a  
   426 H Hamden                 10- 5       5    -4          n/a  
   428 A Shelton                16- 1      15     7          n/a  
   505 H Amity Regional          9- 8       1     0           0.04
   509 H North Haven            11- 5       6     2          n/a  
   510 A East Lyme              14- 9       5     1    +      3.98
   512 H Branford                3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.09
   517 A West Haven             11-10       1    -1          n/a  
   520 A Cheshire HS             3-13     -10     0    ---  -10.72
   523 A St Bernard             22- 2      20     7          n/a  
   526 H Guilford               14-11       3     3          -0.66
   602 H Guilford                9- 7       2     3          -1.66
   604 A Daniel Hand-Madison     5-22     -17   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Conard-West Hartford    4-15     -11    -1    ---   -8.17
   520 A Cheshire HS             3-13     -10     0    ---  -10.72
   406 A Fairfield Prep          6-18     -12    -5    --    -4.68
   512 H Branford                3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Fitch-Groton            7- 5       2    -5    +++        
   426 H Hamden                 10- 5       5    -4    +++        
   409 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    8- 5       3    -2    ++         
   422 H Norwich Free Academy   15- 2      13     4    ++         
   428 A Shelton                16- 1      15     7    +          
   509 H North Haven            11- 5       6     2    +          
   510 A East Lyme              14- 9       5     1    +      3.98
   517 A West Haven             11-10       1    -1    +          
   523 A St Bernard             22- 2      20     7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.51 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.44 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/