Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Edgar Lobley          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.8999481    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    ( 7- 8, 79.8)     4- 5 2o
 322 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 82.0)     2- 4   
 324 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (10-11, 71.7)     8- 0   
 331 A York Suburban          PA    York 1  ( 3- 8, 71.2)    14- 7   
 405 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 85.0)     6- 8   
 407 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 0-14, 63.4)    11- 4   
 409 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (10-11, 71.7)     8- 1   
 412 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (13- 5, 80.4)     2- 5   
 414 H Cecil County           MD    Indep   ( 1- 4, 70.4)    12- 3   
 416 H Phoenixville           PA    PVLL    ( 3- 9, 70.4)     9- 4   
 419 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 8, 77.7)    12- 4   
 423 H Central Susquehanna    PA    CSNLL   ( 9- 5, 78.2)     8- 7   
 426 A Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 1-15, 64.4)    14- 2   
 428 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   (10- 5, 81.6)     2-12   
 503 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (13- 5, 80.4)    12- 4   
 504 A Central York           PA    York 1  ( 1- 8, 69.7)    11- 6   
 506 H Lancaster Country Day  PA    LL04    (13- 7, 87.5)     9-13   
 514 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    (13- 8, 85.0)     7- 9   
 520 H Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 1-15, 64.4)    14- 1   
 527 A Red Lion               PA    York 1  (13- 5, 84.8)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Penn Manor              4- 5 2o   -1     0          -1.17
   322 H Hershey                 2- 4      -2     0          -1.28
   324 H Palmyra                 8- 0       8     9          -1.50
   331 A York Suburban          14- 7       7     8          -1.76
   405 A Ephrata                 6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.10
   407 H Bishop McDevitt        11- 4       7    17    -     -3.00
   409 A Palmyra                 8- 1       7     8          -1.21
   412 A Lampeter-Strasburg      2- 5      -3     0    -     -2.54
   414 H Cecil County           12- 3       9    11          n/a  
   416 H Phoenixville            9- 4       5    11          n/a  
   419 H Central Dauphin        12- 4       8     3    ++     4.48
   423 H Central Susquehanna     8- 7       1     3    -     -2.04
   426 A Cocalico               14- 2      12    15           0.00
   428 H Lower Dauphin           2-12     -10     0    ---   -9.66
   503 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 4       8     0    +++    7.16
   504 A Central York           11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   506 H Lancaster Country Day   9-13      -4    -6    +      2.31
   514 A Ephrata                 7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.10
   520 H Cocalico               14- 1      13    16           0.00
   527 A Red Lion                3-12      -9    -4    --    -4.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Lower Dauphin           2-12     -10     0    ---   -9.66
   416 H Phoenixville            9- 4       5    11    --         
   504 A Central York           11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   527 A Red Lion                3-12      -9    -4    --    -4.11
   407 H Bishop McDevitt        11- 4       7    17    -     -3.00
   412 A Lampeter-Strasburg      2- 5      -3     0    -     -2.54
   423 H Central Susquehanna     8- 7       1     3    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 4       8     0    +++    7.16
   419 H Central Dauphin        12- 4       8     3    ++     4.48
   405 A Ephrata                 6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.10
   506 H Lancaster Country Day   9-13      -4    -6    +      2.31
   514 A Ephrata                 7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.59 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.22 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/