Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Vic Guadagnino        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0661621    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  (12- 7, 87.9)     7- 6  o
 405 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 99.3)     3-11   
 407 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.9)     5- 7   
 411 H Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 88.5)     4- 3  o
 413 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.4)    10- 9   
 415 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.5)     7- 8   
 419 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 74.6)     9- 5   
 421 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 80.0)    11- 7   
 425 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.0)     8- 3   
 427 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 80.8)     5- 2   
 429 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.5)    11- 4   
 503 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 86.7)     7- 3   
 505 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 78.9)    14- 4   
 509 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     7-18   
 511 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.3)     5- 4   
 520 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 87.2)    14- 7   
 524 N Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 99.3)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Half Hollow Hills West  7- 6  o    1     0           0.67
   405 A Ward Melville           3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
   407 A Lindenhurst             5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.23
   411 H Smithtown               4- 3  o    1     0           0.10
   413 A Connetquot             10- 9       1     4    -     -3.82
   415 H Northport               7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.08
   419 H Riverhead               9- 5       4    14    ---   -6.00
   421 A Sachem North           11- 7       4     8    --    -4.21
   425 H Patchogue-Medford       8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   427 H Middle Country          5- 2       3     8    --    -5.62
   429 H Bellport               11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00
   503 A Sachem East             7- 3       4     1    +      2.48
   505 H Commack                14- 4      10    10           0.00
   509 A West Islip              7-18     -11   -11           0.00
   511 A West Babylon            5- 4       1     2          -1.90
   520 H Half Hollow Hills East 14- 7       7     2    ++     4.81
   524 N Ward Melville           8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Riverhead               9- 5       4    14    ---   -6.00
   421 A Sachem North           11- 7       4     8    --    -4.21
   425 H Patchogue-Medford       8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   427 H Middle Country          5- 2       3     8    --    -5.62
   407 A Lindenhurst             5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.23
   413 A Connetquot             10- 9       1     4    -     -3.82
   429 H Bellport               11- 4       7    16    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 N Ward Melville           8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   520 H Half Hollow Hills East 14- 7       7     2    ++     4.81
   405 A Ward Melville           3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
   415 H Northport               7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.08
   503 A Sachem East             7- 3       4     1    +      2.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.80 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.79 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/