Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1458588    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 97.2)     1- 7   
 407 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-12, 74.9)    10- 3   
 411 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (20- 2, 99.9)     1-10   
 413 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 5, 95.1)     4- 9   
 415 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 77.7)     4- 5  o
 419 H St Francis             NY A  Sec 6   (18- 2, 94.1)     4-13   
 426 H Canisius               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 89.0)     6- 5  o
 428 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 79.0)     3- 5   
 502 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-11, 83.8)     9- 8 2o
 503 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 80.4)     8-10   
 506 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.4)     1-11   
 507 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 84.9)     1- 7   
 510 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 72.6)    12- 5   
 512 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (10- 5, 90.4)     3- 8   
 516 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.9)     0- 7   
 518 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-14, 78.4)     2- 3   
 520 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 5, 95.1)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Hamburg                 1- 7      -6   -17    ++     4.00
   407 H Jamestown              10- 3       7     6           0.86
   411 H Orchard Park            1-10      -9   -18           1.00
   413 H Amherst                 4- 9      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   415 A Williamsville South     4- 5  o   -1     1    -     -2.66
   419 H St Francis              4-13      -9   -12           1.00
   426 H Canisius                6- 5  o    1    -7    +++    8.97
   428 A West Seneca West        3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.31
   502 A Sweet Home              9- 8 2o    1    -4    ++     5.42
   503 A Iroquois                8-10      -2    -1          -0.95
   506 A Frontier                1-11     -10   -11           0.00
   507 H Grand Island            1- 7      -6    -3    -     -2.15
   510 H Clarence               12- 5       7     8          -1.52
   512 A Lancaster               3- 8      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   516 H Williamsville North     0- 7      -7    -7           0.81
   518 A West Seneca East        2- 3      -1     0          -1.96
   520 A Amherst                 3-14     -11   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Williamsville South     4- 5  o   -1     1    -     -2.66
   428 A West Seneca West        3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.31
   507 H Grand Island            1- 7      -6    -3    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Canisius                6- 5  o    1    -7    +++    8.97
   405 A Hamburg                 1- 7      -6   -17    ++     4.00
   413 H Amherst                 4- 9      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   502 A Sweet Home              9- 8 2o    1    -4    ++     5.42
   512 A Lancaster               3- 8      -5   -11    ++     5.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.21 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.88 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/