Region = CT 2  SCIAC            
   Nickname = T Blue Devils          Coach  =   Chris Guarino         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1232071    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Shelton                CT 2  SCIAC   ( 1-14, 74.5)    11- 4   
 416 H North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 5-13, 82.3)     7- 4   
 418 H Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 87.5)     4-14   
 421 A Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (17- 2, 92.7)     1-17   
 425 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 87.2)     7- 6  o
 428 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT 1  SCIAC   (18- 3, 94.0)     0-19   
 430 H Cheshire HS            CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8-10, 81.5)     8-11   
 503 H Westhill               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 3-13, 79.7)    10- 4   
 509 H Hamden                 CT 2  SCIAC   (10- 8, 89.0)     3- 7   
 511 A Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (14- 5, 97.2)     1-13   
 512 H St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-12, 75.4)    15- 3   
 517 H Xavier-Middletown      CT 1  SCIAC   (12- 6, 83.5)    10-11   
 519 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8- 9, 81.2)     5-10   
 521 H Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 95.4)     4-16   
 523 A Rockville              CT 2  CCIAC   ( 0-16, 71.5)    16-11   
 525 A Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 83.9)     7-12   
 527 A North Haven            CT 2  SCIAC   ( 5-13, 82.3)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Shelton                11- 4       7     8          -1.41
   416 H North Haven             7- 4       3     2           0.87
   418 H Fairfield Prep          4-14     -10    -2          n/a  
   421 A Branford                1-17     -16   -10          n/a  
   425 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    7- 6  o    1    -2    +      3.78
   428 A Daniel Hand-Madison     0-19     -19   -11          n/a  
   430 H Cheshire HS             8-11      -3     3          n/a  
   503 H Westhill               10- 4       6     4           1.33
   509 H Hamden                  3- 7      -4    -4           0.63
   511 A Masuk-Monroe            1-13     -12   -14           0.00
   512 H St Bernard             15- 3      12     9           1.00
   517 H Xavier-Middletown      10-11      -1     1          n/a  
   519 H Guilford                5-10      -5     3          n/a  
   521 H Weston                  4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   523 A Rockville              16-11       5    11    --    -5.00
   525 A Amity Regional          7-12      -5    -1          n/a  
   527 A North Haven             6- 7      -1     0          -1.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Fairfield Prep          4-14     -10    -2    ---        
   430 H Cheshire HS             8-11      -3     3    ---        
   519 H Guilford                5-10      -5     3    ---        
   523 A Rockville              16-11       5    11    --    -5.00
   517 H Xavier-Middletown      10-11      -1     1    -          
   525 A Amity Regional          7-12      -5    -1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    7- 6  o    1    -2    +      3.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.67 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.80 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/