Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Matt Petz             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0803070    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 89.4)    13- 3   
 331 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 94.2)     5-10   
 405 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (18- 1, 99.9)     7-11   
 407 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 83.0)    19- 9   
 409 A Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.3)     4-10   
 414 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 83.0)    15- 6   
 416 H Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (17- 7, 94.3)     7- 8   
 421 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 97.2)     9- 3   
 428 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 94.2)    10-11   
 430 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (18- 3, 95.0)    17- 2   
 503 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (18- 1, 99.9)     5- 9   
 505 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 83.0)    12- 7   
 507 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 89.4)    14- 6   
 510 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.3)    11- 6   
 514 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 5, 95.1)     6- 2   
 516 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 83.0)    16- 7   
 519 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.8)    14- 1   
 521 H Irondequoit            NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.3)    14- 3   
 524 N Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (18- 1, 99.9)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 N Pittsford              13- 3      10     5    ++     4.27
   331 A Fairport                5-10      -5     0    --    -4.57
   405 H Penfield                7-11      -4    -3          -0.45
   407 A Rush-Henrietta         19- 9      10    10           0.00
   409 A Irondequoit             4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.53
   414 H Webster Thomas         15- 6       9    13          -1.00
   416 H Penn Yan                7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.07
   421 H Hamburg                 9- 3       6    -1          n/a  
   428 H Fairport               10-11      -1     2    -     -3.12
   430 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     17- 2      15     1    +++    8.66
   503 A Penfield                5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.10
   505 H Rush-Henrietta         12- 7       5    13    --    -5.00
   507 A Pittsford              14- 6       8     4    +      3.55
   510 H Irondequoit            11- 6       5     5          -0.08
   514 A Amherst                 6- 2       4    -1          n/a  
   516 A Webster Thomas         16- 7       9    10          -1.00
   519 H Gates-Chili            14- 1      13    20           0.00
   521 H Irondequoit            14- 3      11     5    ++     4.92
   524 N Penfield                9-15      -6    -4          -1.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Irondequoit             4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.53
   331 A Fairport                5-10      -5     0    --    -4.57
   505 H Rush-Henrietta         12- 7       5    13    --    -5.00
   416 H Penn Yan                7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.07
   428 H Fairport               10-11      -1     2    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Hamburg                 9- 3       6    -1    +++        
   430 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     17- 2      15     1    +++    8.66
   326 N Pittsford              13- 3      10     5    ++     4.27
   514 A Amherst                 6- 2       4    -1    ++         
   521 H Irondequoit            14- 3      11     5    ++     4.92
   503 A Penfield                5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.10
   507 A Pittsford              14- 6       8     4    +      3.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.08 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.91 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/