Region = PA    3DWEST           
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Darrell Schmitt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.2983093    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Fairmont               PA    Indep   ( 0- 5, 63.7)     7- 2   
 402 H Butler Area            PA    2DWEST  ( 0-16, 66.9)    11- 3   
 406 A North Hills            PA    2DWEST  (10- 6, 88.1)     1-14   
 409 H Erie-McDowell          PA    3DWEST  ( 6- 7, 79.2)     5- 8   
 413 A University             PA    3DWEST  ( 6-12, 74.7)    10- 9   
 416 A Canon-McMillan         PA    3DWEST  ( 3-11, 73.2)     9- 6   
 420 A Taylor Allderdice      PA    3DWEST  (12-10, 83.1)     4- 8   
 423 H Chartiers Valley       PA    3DWEST  ( 8-10, 78.2)     5- 4   
 427 A Kiski Prep             PA    3DWEST  ( 7- 8, 74.9)     4- 5 3o
 430 H Latrobe                PA    Indep   ( 0- 4, 64.8)     9- 0   
 503 A Quaker Valley          PA    2DWEST  ( 4-14, 76.3)     5- 6   
 505 A Vincentian Academy     PA    3DWEST  ( 2-10, 67.2)     9- 3   
 511 A Morgantown             PA    3DWEST  ( 5- 9, 77.4)     5- 7   
 514 H Greensburg Cath Cent   PA    3DWEST  (15- 2, 88.5)     5-15   
 517 H Erie-Spears            PA    Indep   ( 4- 6, 73.2)     7- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Fairmont                7- 2       5    12    --    -5.00
   402 H Butler Area            11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   406 A North Hills             1-14     -13   -11           0.00
   409 H Erie-McDowell           5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.13
   413 A University             10- 9       1     1          -0.55
   416 A Canon-McMillan          9- 6       3     3          -0.11
   420 A Taylor Allderdice       4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.78
   423 H Chartiers Valley        5- 4       1     1          -0.17
   427 A Kiski Prep              4- 5 3o   -1     1    -     -2.44
   430 H Latrobe                 9- 0       9    14          -1.00
   503 A Quaker Valley           5- 6      -1     0          -1.01
   505 A Vincentian Academy      9- 3       6     9    -     -3.07
   511 A Morgantown              5- 7      -2    -1          -0.94
   514 H Greensburg Cath Cent    5-15     -10    -9          -0.79
   517 H Erie-Spears             7- 3       4     6    -     -2.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Fairmont                7- 2       5    12    --    -5.00
   402 H Butler Area            11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   409 H Erie-McDowell           5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.13
   427 A Kiski Prep              4- 5 3o   -1     1    -     -2.44
   505 A Vincentian Academy      9- 3       6     9    -     -3.07
   517 H Erie-Spears             7- 3       4     6    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Taylor Allderdice       4- 8      -4    -6    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.82 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.06 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/