Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Joe Cuozzo            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.4796600    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.8)    11- 3   
 407 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 76.6)    15- 2   
 409 A Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (14- 4, 93.5)    12- 5   
 411 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 86.7)     8- 7   
 413 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 80.6)    16- 1   
 416 A Yorktown               NY A  Sec 1   (17- 4, 99.4)    13- 7   
 419 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.9)    14- 3   
 421 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     7- 5   
 425 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.3)    14- 4   
 427 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.5)    14- 8   
 429 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.4)    14- 2   
 503 H Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 88.5)    15- 5   
 505 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 87.2)     7- 3   
 507 N Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 80.0)    14- 3   
 511 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 85.7)    14- 4   
 513 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 80.8)    14- 5   
 520 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 86.7)    17- 2   
 524 N William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.8)    11- 8   
 529 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     3- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H William Floyd          11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   407 A Longwood               15- 2      13    22           0.00
   409 A Farmingdale            12- 5       7     5          n/a  
   411 A Sachem East             8- 7       1    12    ---   -9.00
   413 H Bay Shore              16- 1      15    19           0.00
   416 A Yorktown               13- 7       6     0          n/a  
   419 A Lindenhurst            14- 3      11    11           0.00
   421 H West Islip              7- 5       2     0           1.93
   425 H West Babylon           14- 4      10    14           0.00
   427 A Northport              14- 8       6     6          -0.22
   429 H Connetquot             14- 2      12    16           0.00
   503 H Smithtown              15- 5      10    11           0.00
   505 A Half Hollow Hills East  7- 3       4    11    ---   -6.00
   507 N Sachem North           14- 3      11    19           0.00
   511 A East Islip             14- 4      10    13           0.00
   513 A Middle Country         14- 5       9    17          -1.00
   520 H Sachem East            17- 2      15    13           0.00
   524 N William Floyd          11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   529 N West Islip              3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Sachem East             8- 7       1    12    ---   -9.00
   505 A Half Hollow Hills East  7- 3       4    11    ---   -6.00
   524 N William Floyd          11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   405 H William Floyd          11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   529 N West Islip              3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Yorktown               13- 7       6     0    +++        
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.35 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.31 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   25.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.230.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/