Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Dave Simonds          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.7643738    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 84.2)     7- 6   
 331 H Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   (17- 5, 95.6)    13- 7   
 405 A Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (14- 4, 99.9)     6- 7 2o
 408 H Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 95.9)     7- 8   
 409 N Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (15- 5, 88.0)    14-16   
 412 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 96.0)     7- 8   
 416 H Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 84.5)    15- 2   
 422 A Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-14, 84.8)     5- 6   
 426 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 3-16, 84.0)    14- 6   
 428 H Corning East           NY B  Sec 4   (14- 4, 99.9)    13-12   
 503 A Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 95.9)     7- 8  o
 506 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 96.0)    12- 6   
 510 A Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 84.5)    18- 5   
 514 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-14, 84.8)    15- 2   
 517 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 3-16, 84.0)    15- 3   
 518 A Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   ( 8-11, 84.9)     6- 8   
 524 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 96.0)    10- 5   
 526 A Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 95.9)    10- 7   
 531 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (22- 0, 99.9)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Auburn                  7- 6       1    12          n/a  
   331 H Chenango Forks         13- 7       6     1    ++     4.64
   405 A Corning East            6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.21
   408 H Binghamton              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.08
   409 N Christian Bros         14-16      -2     7          n/a  
   412 A Ithaca                  7- 8      -1    -1           0.30
   416 H Corning West           15- 2      13    12           0.00
   422 A Union-Endicott          5- 6      -1     9    ---  -10.87
   426 A Horseheads             14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   428 H Corning East           13-12       1    -2    +      3.94
   503 A Binghamton              7- 8  o   -1    -1           0.19
   506 H Ithaca                 12- 6       6     0    ++     5.03
   510 A Corning West           18- 5      13    10           0.00
   514 H Union-Endicott         15- 2      13    12           0.00
   517 H Horseheads             15- 3      12    12           0.00
   518 A Maine-Endwell           6- 8      -2     9    ---  -11.76
   524 A Ithaca                 10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.30
   526 A Binghamton             10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.19
   531 N West Genesee            9-15      -6    -4          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Auburn                  7- 6       1    12    ---        
   409 N Christian Bros         14-16      -2     7    ---        
   422 A Union-Endicott          5- 6      -1     9    ---  -10.87
   518 A Maine-Endwell           6- 8      -2     9    ---  -11.76
   408 H Binghamton              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.08
   426 A Horseheads             14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 A Ithaca                 10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.30
   331 H Chenango Forks         13- 7       6     1    ++     4.64
   405 A Corning East            6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.21
   506 H Ithaca                 12- 6       6     0    ++     5.03
   526 A Binghamton             10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.19
   428 H Corning East           13-12       1    -2    +      3.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.82 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.35 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   26.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/