Tucson Tanque Verde           5 - 7


 
                                     Region = AZ    South            
   Nickname = Z Sabercats            Coach  =   Craig Fertelmes       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.3978882    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 129 A Hamilton               AZ    Fiesta  ( 3- 8, 74.8)     8- 2   
 205 H Mesquite               AZ    Fiesta  ( 9- 5, 91.8)     6-13   
 219 H Horizon                AZ    Desert  ( 4- 8, 74.9)    11- 7   
 305 H Highland               AZ    Fiesta  ( 5- 7, 80.7)     7- 6   
 312 H Desert Vista           AZ    South   ( 8- 5, 87.0)     5- 8   
 319 A Notre Dame Prep        AZ    North   ( 3- 9, 71.5)    14- 3   
 324 A Tucson                 AZ    South   ( 6- 5, 83.1)     6- 7   
 402 H Mountain Pointe        AZ    South   ( 7- 5, 86.1)     6- 2   
 406 A Dobson                 AZ    South   ( 2-10, 76.8)     5- 7   
 409 A Chandler               AZ    Fiesta  (13- 3, 97.1)     2-18   
 416 A Gilbert                AZ    Fiesta  ( 8- 5, 89.8)     4-18   
 423 H Tucson                 AZ    South   ( 6- 5, 83.1)     4-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   129 A Hamilton                8- 2       6     5           0.72
   205 H Mesquite                6-13      -7   -11    +      3.00
   219 H Horizon                11- 7       4     5          -1.42
   305 H Highland                7- 6       1     0           1.38
   312 H Desert Vista            5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.65
   319 A Notre Dame Prep        14- 3      11     8           1.47
   324 A Tucson                  6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.07
   402 H Mountain Pointe         6- 2       4    -5    +++    9.74
   406 A Dobson                  5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.27
   409 A Chandler                2-18     -16   -17           0.00
   416 A Gilbert                 4-18     -14    -9          -0.23
   423 H Tucson                  4-14     -10    -2    ---   -7.22


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Tucson                  4-14     -10    -2    ---   -7.22
   406 A Dobson                  5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.27


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Mountain Pointe         6- 2       4    -5    +++    9.74
   205 H Mesquite                6-13      -7   -11    +      3.00
   312 H Desert Vista            5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.65
   324 A Tucson                  6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.07




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.21 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.84 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -13.3


  
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