Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-IV Nickname = J Mariners Coach = Brett SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.4793091 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Toms River East NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 7, 74.5) 3- 2 o 408 H Manasquan NJ Grp-II (14- 6, 83.3) 10- 9 411 A Howell NJ Grp-IV (13- 7, 78.9) 7- 5 413 A Jackson Memorial NJ Grp-IV ( 9-10, 75.0) 3- 7 415 H Rumson-Fair Haven NJ Grp-I (14- 5, 82.1) 4-11 420 H Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-II ( 3-10, 68.2) 6- 8 421 A St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-I ( 5-11, 69.9) 2- 3 429 A Toms River East NJ Grp-IV ( 8- 7, 74.5) 4- 6 502 H Freehold Township NJ Grp-IV ( 5-10, 70.1) 9- 6 504 A Toms River South NJ Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1) 3- 7 506 A Colt's Neck NJ Grp-II ( 2-11, 64.1) 10- 2 510 H Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-II ( 5-14, 65.7) 10- 3 512 H Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV ( 5-11, 71.6) 9- 8 o 516 A Manasquan NJ Grp-II (14- 6, 83.3) 3- 9 519 A Southern Regional NJ Grp-IV ( 5-11, 71.6) 9- 4 523 A Cherokee NJ Grp-IV (17- 5, 85.2) 2- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Toms River East 3- 2 o 1 1 -0.20 408 H Manasquan 10- 9 1 -7 +++ 8.60 411 A Howell 7- 5 2 -5 +++ 7.08 413 A Jackson Memorial 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.75 415 H Rumson-Fair Haven 4-11 -7 -6 -0.57 420 H Monsignor Donovan 6- 8 -2 7 --- -9.56 421 A St Rose Belmar 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.88 429 A Toms River East 4- 6 -2 0 -1.27 502 H Freehold Township 9- 6 3 5 - -2.63 504 A Toms River South 3- 7 -4 -2 -1.69 506 A Colt's Neck 10- 2 8 9 -1.67 510 H Red Bank Catholic 10- 3 7 10 - -3.00 512 H Southern Regional 9- 8 o 1 4 - -3.12 516 A Manasquan 3- 9 -6 -9 + 3.54 519 A Southern Regional 9- 4 5 2 + 2.81 523 A Cherokee 2- 9 -7 -11 + 3.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Monsignor Donovan 6- 8 -2 7 --- -9.56 421 A St Rose Belmar 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.88 413 A Jackson Memorial 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.75 502 H Freehold Township 9- 6 3 5 - -2.63 510 H Red Bank Catholic 10- 3 7 10 - -3.00 512 H Southern Regional 9- 8 o 1 4 - -3.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Manasquan 10- 9 1 -7 +++ 8.60 411 A Howell 7- 5 2 -5 +++ 7.08 516 A Manasquan 3- 9 -6 -9 + 3.54 519 A Southern Regional 9- 4 5 2 + 2.81 523 A Cherokee 2- 9 -7 -11 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 74.75 Local Power Rank........... 87 Local SOS Rating......... 48.76 Local SOS Rank............. 108 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 73 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 114 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 77 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7