Region = CT 2  ECIAC            
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Tom Tsagaratis        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.1462860    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Suffield HS            CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 6, 90.1)    11-15   
 408 A Old Lyme               CT 2  Indep   (15- 1, 99.9)     5-14   
 411 A St Bernard             CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-12, 75.4)    16- 6   
 414 H Norwich Tech           CT 2  Indep   ( 0-14, 69.2)    11- 0   
 415 A Williams               NE    East-2  ( 6- 6, 75.6)    10- 4   
 418 H Morgan-Clinton         CT 2  Indep   ( 8-10, 87.1)    12-13  o
 426 H Fitch-Groton           CT 2  ECIAC   (12- 7, 90.3)     8- 9 2o
 428 H Tolland                CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 7, 90.2)     9-12   
 430 A Woodstock Academy      CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 78.0)     7- 5   
 503 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT 2  ECIAC   ( 3-11, 73.3)    12- 0   
 509 A Ledyard                CT 2  ECIAC   ( 8- 8, 86.9)    11-14   
 516 H East Lyme              CT 1  ECIAC   ( 9- 9, 81.2)     6-16   
 519 H Norwich Free Academy   CT 2  ECIAC   ( 5-11, 79.9)    13- 5   
 521 H Avon HS                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 9- 9, 87.9)    13-17   
 523 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 87.2)     7-10   
 526 N Fitch-Groton           CT 2  ECIAC   (12- 7, 90.3)     3-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Suffield HS            11-15      -4    -4           0.68
   408 A Old Lyme                5-14      -9   -15           1.00
   411 A St Bernard             16- 6      10     8           1.49
   414 H Norwich Tech           11- 0      11    16           0.00
   415 A Williams               10- 4       6     8          n/a  
   418 H Morgan-Clinton         12-13  o   -1    -1           0.70
   426 H Fitch-Groton            8- 9 2o   -1    -4    +      3.88
   428 H Tolland                 9-12      -3    -4           1.84
   430 A Woodstock Academy       7- 5       2     5    -     -3.89
   503 A Wheeler-No Stonington  12- 0      12    10           0.00
   509 A Ledyard                11-14      -3    -3           0.01
   516 H East Lyme               6-16     -10     4          n/a  
   519 H Norwich Free Academy   13- 5       8     5    +      2.52
   521 H Avon HS                13-17      -4    -2          -1.54
   523 H Notre Dame-Fairfield    7-10      -3    -1          -1.22
   526 N Fitch-Groton            3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H East Lyme               6-16     -10     4    ---        
   526 N Fitch-Groton            3-13     -10    -5    --    -4.38
   415 A Williams               10- 4       6     8    -          
   430 A Woodstock Academy       7- 5       2     5    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Fitch-Groton            8- 9 2o   -1    -4    +      3.88
   519 H Norwich Free Academy   13- 5       8     5    +      2.52
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.66 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.55 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/