Conf = Pitt Region = NJ Grp-III Nickname = J Falcons Coach = Matt SeverinoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.7089233 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Edison NJ Grp-IV (10- 8, 76.1) 15- 3 405 H North Brunswick NJ Grp-III (16- 2, 86.7) 4- 7 409 A AL Johnson/Clark NJ Grp-II ( 3-14, 75.5) 6-13 412 H South Brunswick NJ Grp-IV (13- 4, 84.3) 3-13 414 H East Brunswick NJ Grp-IV ( 4-11, 75.5) 6- 5 416 H Hillsborough NJ Grp-IV ( 7-13, 80.0) 8-12 418 A Lawrenceville NJ Private (21- 1, 99.9) 4-11 420 A North Hunterdon NJ Grp-III ( 7-11, 81.6) 6-11 423 A Moorestown NJ Grp-II (10- 8, 88.0) 0-13 425 A Notre Dame NJ Grp-III ( 9- 7, 79.8) 11-12 426 H Christian Bros NJ Grp-IV (18- 4, 89.8) 4-13 430 A Peddie School NJ Private ( 6-10, 82.1) 1-11 502 A Old Bridge NJ Grp-IV ( 6-12, 72.6) 12-11 504 H Hunterdon Central NJ Grp-IV (19- 4, 91.9) 5-15 505 H St Peter's Prep NJ Grp-IV (12- 8, 79.3) 13- 8 510 H West Windsor-PB So NJ Grp-III (12- 5, 86.2) 8-14 511 A Princeton HS NJ Grp-III (10- 9, 84.1) 6- 4 517 H Old Bridge NJ Grp-IV ( 6-12, 72.6) 12- 1 519 A South Brunswick NJ Grp-IV (13- 4, 84.3) 7-14 520 H Bridgewater-Raritan NJ Grp-IV ( 7-12, 81.5) 7-10 523 H Toms River South NJ Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1) 8- 7 525 A West Morris Central NJ Grp-III (14- 7, 88.2) 5- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Edison 15- 3 12 0 +++ 10.13 405 H North Brunswick 4- 7 -3 -8 ++ 5.76 409 A AL Johnson/Clark 6-13 -7 0 --- -7.55 412 H South Brunswick 3-13 -10 -6 - -3.64 414 H East Brunswick 6- 5 1 2 -1.47 416 H Hillsborough 8-12 -4 -2 -1.98 418 A Lawrenceville 4-11 -7 -23 + 3.00 420 A North Hunterdon 6-11 -5 -5 0.56 423 A Moorestown 0-13 -13 -12 0.00 425 A Notre Dame 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.83 426 H Christian Bros 4-13 -9 -11 1.00 430 A Peddie School 1-11 -10 -6 - -3.91 502 A Old Bridge 12-11 1 3 - -2.44 504 H Hunterdon Central 5-15 -10 -14 0.00 505 H St Peter's Prep 13- 8 5 -1 +++ 6.36 510 H West Windsor-PB So 8-14 -6 -8 + 2.25 511 A Princeton HS 6- 4 2 -8 +++ 10.09 517 H Old Bridge 12- 1 11 5 ++ 4.62 519 A South Brunswick 7-14 -7 -8 1.29 520 H Bridgewater-Raritan 7-10 -3 -3 0.58 523 H Toms River South 8- 7 1 1 -0.85 525 A West Morris Central 5- 9 -4 -12 +++ 6.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A AL Johnson/Clark 6-13 -7 0 --- -7.55 412 H South Brunswick 3-13 -10 -6 - -3.64 430 A Peddie School 1-11 -10 -6 - -3.91 502 A Old Bridge 12-11 1 3 - -2.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Edison 15- 3 12 0 +++ 10.13 505 H St Peter's Prep 13- 8 5 -1 +++ 6.36 511 A Princeton HS 6- 4 2 -8 +++ 10.09 525 A West Morris Central 5- 9 -4 -12 +++ 6.00 405 H North Brunswick 4- 7 -3 -8 ++ 5.76 517 H Old Bridge 12- 1 11 5 ++ 4.62 418 A Lawrenceville 4-11 -7 -23 + 3.00 425 A Notre Dame 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.83 510 H West Windsor-PB So 8-14 -6 -8 + 2.25/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.97 Local Power Rank........... 73 Local SOS Rating......... 62.64 Local SOS Rank............. 39 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 65 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 111 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 113 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-15 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0