Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ    Grp-III          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Severino         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.7089233    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 8, 76.1)    15- 3   
 405 H North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-III (16- 2, 86.7)     4- 7   
 409 A AL Johnson/Clark       NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-14, 75.5)     6-13   
 412 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 4, 84.3)     3-13   
 414 H East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 4-11, 75.5)     6- 5   
 416 H Hillsborough           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-13, 80.0)     8-12   
 418 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (21- 1, 99.9)     4-11   
 420 A North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp-III ( 7-11, 81.6)     6-11   
 423 A Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (10- 8, 88.0)     0-13   
 425 A Notre Dame             NJ    Grp-III ( 9- 7, 79.8)    11-12   
 426 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-IV  (18- 4, 89.8)     4-13   
 430 A Peddie School          NJ    Private ( 6-10, 82.1)     1-11   
 502 A Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-12, 72.6)    12-11   
 504 H Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (19- 4, 91.9)     5-15   
 505 H St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 8, 79.3)    13- 8   
 510 H West Windsor-PB So     NJ    Grp-III (12- 5, 86.2)     8-14   
 511 A Princeton HS           NJ    Grp-III (10- 9, 84.1)     6- 4   
 517 H Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-12, 72.6)    12- 1   
 519 A South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (13- 4, 84.3)     7-14   
 520 H Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-12, 81.5)     7-10   
 523 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp-III (10- 7, 76.1)     8- 7   
 525 A West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-III (14- 7, 88.2)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Edison                 15- 3      12     0    +++   10.13
   405 H North Brunswick         4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.76
   409 A AL Johnson/Clark        6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.55
   412 H South Brunswick         3-13     -10    -6    -     -3.64
   414 H East Brunswick          6- 5       1     2          -1.47
   416 H Hillsborough            8-12      -4    -2          -1.98
   418 A Lawrenceville           4-11      -7   -23    +      3.00
   420 A North Hunterdon         6-11      -5    -5           0.56
   423 A Moorestown              0-13     -13   -12           0.00
   425 A Notre Dame             11-12      -1    -3    +      2.83
   426 H Christian Bros          4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   430 A Peddie School           1-11     -10    -6    -     -3.91
   502 A Old Bridge             12-11       1     3    -     -2.44
   504 H Hunterdon Central       5-15     -10   -14           0.00
   505 H St Peter's Prep        13- 8       5    -1    +++    6.36
   510 H West Windsor-PB So      8-14      -6    -8    +      2.25
   511 A Princeton HS            6- 4       2    -8    +++   10.09
   517 H Old Bridge             12- 1      11     5    ++     4.62
   519 A South Brunswick         7-14      -7    -8           1.29
   520 H Bridgewater-Raritan     7-10      -3    -3           0.58
   523 H Toms River South        8- 7       1     1          -0.85
   525 A West Morris Central     5- 9      -4   -12    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A AL Johnson/Clark        6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.55
   412 H South Brunswick         3-13     -10    -6    -     -3.64
   430 A Peddie School           1-11     -10    -6    -     -3.91
   502 A Old Bridge             12-11       1     3    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Edison                 15- 3      12     0    +++   10.13
   505 H St Peter's Prep        13- 8       5    -1    +++    6.36
   511 A Princeton HS            6- 4       2    -8    +++   10.09
   525 A West Morris Central     5- 9      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   405 H North Brunswick         4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.76
   517 H Old Bridge             12- 1      11     5    ++     4.62
   418 A Lawrenceville           4-11      -7   -23    +      3.00
   425 A Notre Dame             11-12      -1    -3    +      2.83
   510 H West Windsor-PB So      8-14      -6    -8    +      2.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.97 Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.64 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    65
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   111
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   113
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/