Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Derryl Jimmerson      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.0102844    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 80.7)    11-13   
 407 A Canisius               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 89.0)     5-17   
 411 H Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-14, 76.7)    14-12   
 412 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 82.1)     8-15   
 414 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 9-10, 84.9)     8-19   
 416 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-17, 67.9)    17- 4   
 426 H St Francis             NY A  Sec 6   (18- 2, 94.1)     7-17   
 427 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (12- 8, 83.5)    10-11   
 429 A Nichols                NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 93.7)     9-21   
 430 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (12- 8, 83.5)     6-10   
 503 H Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (13- 8, 89.9)     4- 9   
 504 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 77.7)     7-10   
 505 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (11- 4, 90.1)     8-17   
 509 A Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-14, 76.7)    16- 8   
 510 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 80.7)    17-14   
 516 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-19, 63.0)    16- 2   
 517 A Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-17, 67.9)    17- 6   
 519 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-19, 63.0)    24- 0   
 520 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-19, 63.0)    17- 2   
 524 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 80.7)    19-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Salamanca              11-13      -2     0          -1.88
   407 A Canisius                5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   411 H Gowanda                14-12       2     3          -1.95
   412 A St Joseph Collegiate    8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.81
   414 H Grand Island            8-19     -11    -4    --    -5.69
   416 H Medina                 17- 4      13    12           0.00
   426 H St Francis              7-17     -10   -13           0.00
   427 H East Aurora            10-11      -1    -2           1.84
   429 A Nichols                 9-21     -12   -14           0.00
   430 A East Aurora             6-10      -4    -4           0.57
   503 H Timon St Jude           4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.25
   504 A Williamsville South     7-10      -3     1    --    -4.20
   505 H Niagara Wheatfield      8-17      -9    -9           0.47
   509 A Gowanda                16- 8       8     2    ++     5.78
   510 A Salamanca              17-14       3    -1    ++     4.85
   516 A Akron                  16- 2      14    15           0.00
   517 A Medina                 17- 6      11    10           0.00
   519 H Akron                  24- 0      24    17           0.00
   520 H Akron                  17- 2      15    17           0.00
   524 A Salamanca              19-20      -1    -1           0.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Grand Island            8-19     -11    -4    --    -5.69
   504 A Williamsville South     7-10      -3     1    --    -4.20
   412 A St Joseph Collegiate    8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Timon St Jude           4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.25
   509 A Gowanda                16- 8       8     2    ++     5.78
   510 A Salamanca              17-14       3    -1    ++     4.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.75 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.80 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   12.7
/