Conf = Fitch Region = NJ Grp-IV Nickname = J Pirates Coach = Andrew DeccicoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6208954 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Livingston NJ Grp-III ( 1-18, 71.3) 16- 1 406 H Morristown NJ Grp-III ( 3-16, 74.8) 13- 6 407 A West Essex Regional NJ Grp-II (17- 6, 91.7) 4- 7 409 H Hanover Park NJ Grp-II ( 3-15, 75.4) 9- 3 412 A Roxbury NJ Grp-III ( 6-13, 79.3) 7- 4 416 A Columbia NJ Grp-IV ( 2-15, 73.5) 11- 5 420 H Delbarton NJ Grp-II (20- 2, 98.9) 2- 6 425 A Ridgewood NJ Grp-III (18- 4, 93.3) 3- 9 427 H Montclair NJ Grp-IV (15- 5, 88.7) 6- 7 430 A West Morris Central NJ Grp-III (14- 7, 88.2) 10- 9 502 A Chatham NJ Grp-I (13- 6, 90.1) 9- 7 504 H Mendham NJ Grp-II (10-10, 84.9) 9- 6 508 H Montclair Kim Acad NJ Grp-I (13- 7, 84.8) 12- 2 511 H Randolph NJ Grp-III (12-10, 87.2) 9- 7 513 A Westfield NJ Grp-III ( 9-12, 84.2) 3- 6 515 A West Essex Regional NJ Grp-II (17- 6, 91.7) 8- 7 519 H Summit NJ Grp-I (20- 4, 94.9) 6- 8 522 N Glen Ridge NJ Grp-I ( 9- 9, 83.1) 13- 3 525 H Washington Twp NJ Grp-IV (15- 5, 83.0) 13- 2 528 H Christian Bros NJ Grp-IV (18- 4, 89.8) 9- 4 601 A Hunterdon Central NJ Grp-IV (19- 4, 91.9) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Livingston 16- 1 15 19 0.00 406 H Morristown 13- 6 7 15 - -3.00 407 A West Essex Regional 4- 7 -3 -3 0.03 409 H Hanover Park 9- 3 6 15 -- -4.00 412 A Roxbury 7- 4 3 9 --- -6.38 416 A Columbia 11- 5 6 15 -- -4.00 420 H Delbarton 2- 6 -4 -8 ++ 4.33 425 A Ridgewood 3- 9 -6 -4 -1.33 427 H Montclair 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.86 430 A West Morris Central 10- 9 1 0 0.52 502 A Chatham 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.42 504 H Mendham 9- 6 3 5 - -2.67 508 H Montclair Kim Acad 12- 2 10 5 ++ 4.26 511 H Randolph 9- 7 2 3 -1.35 513 A Westfield 3- 6 -3 4 --- -7.45 515 A West Essex Regional 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.03 519 H Summit 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.33 522 N Glen Ridge 13- 3 10 6 + 3.50 525 H Washington Twp 13- 2 11 7 + 2.44 528 H Christian Bros 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.18 601 A Hunterdon Central 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.31UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Roxbury 7- 4 3 9 --- -6.38 513 A Westfield 3- 6 -3 4 --- -7.45 409 H Hanover Park 9- 3 6 15 -- -4.00 416 A Columbia 11- 5 6 15 -- -4.00 406 H Morristown 13- 6 7 15 - -3.00 427 H Montclair 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.86 504 H Mendham 9- 6 3 5 - -2.67OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Delbarton 2- 6 -4 -8 ++ 4.33 508 H Montclair Kim Acad 12- 2 10 5 ++ 4.26 515 A West Essex Regional 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.03 528 H Christian Bros 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.18 502 A Chatham 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.42 519 H Summit 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.33 522 N Glen Ridge 13- 3 10 6 + 3.50 525 H Washington Twp 13- 2 11 7 + 2.44 601 A Hunterdon Central 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.31/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.60 Local Power Rank........... 14 Local SOS Rating......... 69.00 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 10 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0