Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Jay Mauro             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4891815    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (10- 7, 86.8)     2-14   
 405 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     4-12   
 407 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 85.3)     6- 7   
 409 H Smithtown              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 88.5)     6- 8   
 411 H Hicksville             NY A  Sec 8   (13- 5, 92.0)     4- 9   
 413 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-16, 65.5)    15- 4   
 419 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.5)    10- 5   
 421 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 5, 88.8)     7-11   
 423 A Seaford                NY C  Sec 8   ( 6- 9, 81.6)     9- 7   
 425 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 78.9)    12- 5   
 428 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 86.7)     2-13   
 429 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 74.6)     6- 5  o
 503 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 80.8)     7- 8  o
 505 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.0)     7- 6   
 507 N Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 99.3)     3-14   
 511 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 86.9)     7-20   
 513 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.5)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Rocky Point             2-14     -12    -7    -     -2.58
   405 A West Islip              4-12      -8   -20    +      2.00
   407 A West Babylon            6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   409 H Smithtown               6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.94
   411 H Hicksville              4- 9      -5   -11          n/a  
   413 H Brentwood              15- 4      11    15           0.00
   419 H Bellport               10- 5       5     8    -     -3.10
   421 H William Floyd           7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.21
   423 A Seaford                 9- 7       2    -2          n/a  
   425 H Commack                12- 5       7     1    ++     5.29
   428 A Sachem East             2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.69
   429 A Riverhead               6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.78
   503 A Middle Country          7- 8  o   -1    -1           0.47
   505 H Patchogue-Medford       7- 6       1     1          -0.55
   507 N Ward Melville           3-14     -11   -19           0.00
   511 A Lindenhurst             7-20     -13    -7    -     -2.39
   513 H Northport               4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Rocky Point             2-14     -12    -7    -     -2.58
   419 H Bellport               10- 5       5     8    -     -3.10
   428 A Sachem East             2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.69
   429 A Riverhead               6- 5  o    1     4    -     -3.78
   511 A Lindenhurst             7-20     -13    -7    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A West Babylon            6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.93
   409 H Smithtown               6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.94
   411 H Hicksville              4- 9      -5   -11    ++         
   421 H William Floyd           7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.21
   423 A Seaford                 9- 7       2    -2    ++         
   425 H Commack                12- 5       7     1    ++     5.29
   405 A West Islip              4-12      -8   -20    +      2.00
   513 H Northport               4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.96 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.32 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.7
/