Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ    Private          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Rodger Colbert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5559158    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-IV  (18- 4, 89.8)     6- 9   
 406 A Princeton HS           NJ    Grp-III (10- 9, 84.1)     7- 6   
 409 H Ridgewood              NJ    Grp-III (18- 4, 93.3)     7-14   
 411 H Hillsborough           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-13, 80.0)     8- 6   
 414 A Hun School             NJ    Private (11- 8, 83.4)     7- 8 2o
 416 H Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (19- 4, 91.9)     8- 7   
 418 A Kinnelon               NJ    Grp-I   (14- 6, 89.7)     8-15   
 420 H Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (21- 1, 99.9)     1-15   
 422 A Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   (11- 3, 89.9)    10-11   
 427 H Hill School            PA    Indep   (11- 5, 90.2)     6- 7   
 430 H St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-III ( 7-15, 77.0)    11- 1   
 502 A Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 8-10, 78.3)    10- 7   
 504 H Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (10- 8, 88.0)     5-10   
 509 A Hun School             NJ    Private (11- 8, 83.4)     9-11   
 511 A North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp-III ( 7-11, 81.6)     9- 7   
 514 A Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-12, 81.5)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Christian Bros          6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.62
   406 A Princeton HS            7- 6       1    -2    +      3.97
   409 H Ridgewood               7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   411 H Hillsborough            8- 6       2     3          -1.11
   414 A Hun School              7- 8 2o   -1    -2           1.31
   416 H Hunterdon Central       8- 7       1    -8    +++    9.88
   418 A Kinnelon                8-15      -7    -8           1.58
   420 H Lawrenceville           1-15     -14   -16           0.00
   422 A Mercersburg Academy    10-11      -1    -8          n/a  
   427 H Hill School             6- 7      -1    -7          n/a  
   430 H St Joseph Metuchen     11- 1      10     6    +      3.91
   502 A Blair Academy          10- 7       3     2           0.16
   504 H Moorestown              5-10      -5    -4          -0.02
   509 A Hun School              9-11      -2    -2           0.31
   511 A North Hunterdon         9- 7       2     0    +      2.44
   514 A Bridgewater-Raritan     9-10      -1     0          -0.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Hunterdon Central       8- 7       1    -8    +++    9.88
   422 A Mercersburg Academy    10-11      -1    -8    +++        
   427 H Hill School             6- 7      -1    -7    +++        
   405 A Christian Bros          6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.62
   406 A Princeton HS            7- 6       1    -2    +      3.97
   409 H Ridgewood               7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   430 H St Joseph Metuchen     11- 1      10     6    +      3.91
   511 A North Hunterdon         9- 7       2     0    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.10 Local Power Rank...........    52
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.97 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    90
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/