Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lumberjacks                                           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1774063    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 4, 93.8)     6- 7   
 412 H Lockport               NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 9, 81.9)     8- 0   
 414 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 3, 95.4)     4-11   
 419 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 78.6)    11- 3   
 421 H Wilson                 NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 4, 93.8)     6- 5 2o
 422 A St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 81.4)    12- 2   
 423 N St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 81.4)     3- 2 2o
 426 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   (14- 1, 99.9)     2-11   
 428 H Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 3, 95.4)     3-12   
 430 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 81.4)     4- 3   
 502 A Timon St Jude          NY C  Sec 6   (13- 8, 89.9)     0-27   
 503 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   (14- 1, 99.9)     3-16   
 510 A Eden                   NY I  Sec 6   ( 2- 2, 85.5)     2-10   
 510 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 78.6)    11- 1   
 511 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   (14- 1, 99.9)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Wilson                  6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.03
   412 H Lockport                8- 0       8     5    +      2.09
   414 A Genesee                 4-11      -7    -9    +      2.69
   419 H Newfane                11- 3       8     9          -1.19
   421 H Wilson                  6- 5 2o    1    -5    +++    6.95
   422 A St Mary's Lancaster    12- 2      10     4    ++     5.67
   423 N St Mary's Lancaster     3- 2 2o    1     5    --    -4.37
   426 H Gow School              2-11      -9   -12           1.00
   428 H Genesee                 3-12      -9    -7          -1.39
   430 H St Mary's Lancaster     4- 3       1     6    --    -5.41
   502 A Timon St Jude           0-27     -27    -4          n/a  
   503 A Gow School              3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   510 A Eden                    2-10      -8     0    ---   -8.28
   510 A Newfane                11- 1      10     7    +      2.89
   511 A Gow School              4-13      -9   -14           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Eden                    2-10      -8     0    ---   -8.28
   423 N St Mary's Lancaster     3- 2 2o    1     5    --    -4.37
   430 H St Mary's Lancaster     4- 3       1     6    --    -5.41
   502 A Timon St Jude           0-27     -27    -4    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Wilson                  6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.03
   421 H Wilson                  6- 5 2o    1    -5    +++    6.95
   422 A St Mary's Lancaster    12- 2      10     4    ++     5.67
   412 H Lockport                8- 0       8     5    +      2.09
   414 A Genesee                 4-11      -7    -9    +      2.69
   510 A Newfane                11- 1      10     7    +      2.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.79 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.09 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/