Region = MI 1                   
   Nickname = I Mustangs             Coach  =   Greg Durham           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.0724945    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1          (10- 9, 83.1)     2-16   
 412 A Hartland               MI 1          ( 7-11, 69.0)     9- 4   
 414 H Plymouth Canton-Salem  MI 1          ( 9-10, 74.8)     4- 7   
 416 H Bloomfield Hills       MI 1          ( 5-13, 74.4)     6- 7  o
 419 A Huron Valley-Lakeland  MI 1          ( 5-10, 73.5)     7- 6   
 421 A Lincoln-Ypsilanti      MI 2          (18- 1, 82.4)     8- 9   
 423 H Howell                 MI 1          ( 7-12, 68.6)    12- 1   
 426 A Ann Arbor Huron        MI 1          (17- 4, 90.3)     2-13   
 430 A Waterford              MI 1          (12- 8, 77.2)     5- 4   
 503 H Walled Lake            MI 1          ( 4-12, 62.0)    14- 7   
 505 A OL St Mary's           MI 2          (10- 8, 77.5)     5- 6 2o
 510 A Romulus                MI 2          ( 1-17, 52.3)    20- 0   
 512 A Novi                   MI 1          (12- 6, 85.1)     3-12   
 517 A South Lyon             MI 1          ( 8- 9, 69.4)    15- 5   
 519 H Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1          (14- 7, 87.3)     5-13   
 521 A Tecumseh               MI 2          ( 7- 9, 67.0)    10- 1   
 531 A Plymouth Canton-Salem  MI 1          ( 9-10, 74.8)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Detroit Catholic Cent   2-16     -14    -7    -     -2.65
   412 A Hartland                9- 4       5     5          -0.15
   414 H Plymouth Canton-Salem   4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.90
   416 H Bloomfield Hills        6- 7  o   -1     1    -     -2.28
   419 A Huron Valley-Lakeland   7- 6       1     0           0.27
   421 A Lincoln-Ypsilanti       8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.17
   423 H Howell                 12- 1      11     7    +      2.91
   426 A Ann Arbor Huron         2-13     -11   -16           0.00
   430 A Waterford               5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.05
   503 H Walled Lake            14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00
   505 A OL St Mary's            5- 6 2o   -1    -3    +      2.34
   510 A Romulus                20- 0      20    21           0.00
   512 A Novi                    3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   517 A South Lyon             15- 5      10     4    ++     5.21
   519 H Ann Arbor Pioneer       5-13      -8   -11    +      2.00
   521 A Tecumseh               10- 1       9     7           1.83
   531 A Plymouth Canton-Salem   8-10      -2     0          -1.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Detroit Catholic Cent   2-16     -14    -7    -     -2.65
   414 H Plymouth Canton-Salem   4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.90
   416 H Bloomfield Hills        6- 7  o   -1     1    -     -2.28
   503 H Walled Lake            14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Lincoln-Ypsilanti       8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.17
   430 A Waterford               5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.05
   517 A South Lyon             15- 5      10     4    ++     5.21
   423 H Howell                 12- 1      11     7    +      2.91
   505 A OL St Mary's            5- 6 2o   -1    -3    +      2.34
   519 H Ann Arbor Pioneer       5-13      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.95 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.52 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    44
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
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