Region = CT 1  FCIAC            
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Randy McCue           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7442551    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H New Canaan             CT 1  FCIAC   (14- 6, 90.8)     9-12   
 409 A Greenwich              CT 1  FCIAC   (12- 7, 91.1)     4-10   
 412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT 1  FCIAC   ( 5-11, 79.7)    11- 1   
 414 H Wilton                 CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 5, 94.4)     1- 7   
 419 A Westhill               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 3-13, 79.7)     9- 5   
 421 H Hall-West Hartford     CT 1  CCIAC   ( 7- 8, 80.7)     9- 1   
 423 H Trumbull               CT 2  FCIAC   (14- 6, 96.7)    10- 2   
 426 A Fairfield-Warde        CT 1  FCIAC   ( 3-13, 76.5)    11- 4   
 429 A Staples-Westport       CT 1  FCIAC   (12- 6, 90.4)     0- 9   
 503 H Stamford               CT 2  FCIAC   ( 0-16, 75.5)    14- 3   
 507 H Somers                 CT 1  NWCIAC  (16- 4, 92.8)     5-21   
 510 H Ridgefield             CT 1  FCIAC   ( 7-10, 83.3)     3- 5   
 514 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT 1  FCIAC   (16- 6, 92.2)     5-16   
 517 A Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 3-14, 75.4)    10- 9   
 520 A Danbury                CT 2  FCIAC   ( 5-11, 84.0)    10- 3   
 524 H Guilford               CT 1  SCIAC   ( 8- 9, 81.2)    10- 1   
 527 A Darien                 CT 1  FCIAC   (23- 0, 99.9)     0-14   
 602 A Fairfield Prep         CT 1  SCIAC   (11- 9, 87.5)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H New Canaan              9-12      -3    -6    +      3.24
   409 A Greenwich               4-10      -6    -9    +      3.16
   412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      11- 1      10     2    +++    7.77
   414 H Wilton                  1- 7      -6    -9    +      3.83
   419 A Westhill                9- 5       4     2          n/a  
   421 H Hall-West Hartford      9- 1       8     3    ++     4.11
   423 H Trumbull               10- 2       8   -12          n/a  
   426 A Fairfield-Warde        11- 4       7     5           1.49
   429 A Staples-Westport        0- 9      -9    -8          -0.60
   503 H Stamford               14- 3      11     8          n/a  
   507 H Somers                  5-21     -16    -8          -1.81
   510 H Ridgefield              3- 5      -2     1    -     -3.26
   514 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.37
   517 A Newtown                10- 9       1     6    --    -5.53
   520 A Danbury                10- 3       7    -1          n/a  
   524 H Guilford               10- 1       9     3    ++     5.56
   527 A Darien                  0-14     -14   -17           0.00
   602 A Fairfield Prep          6-13      -7    -5          -1.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Newtown                10- 9       1     6    --    -5.53
   510 H Ridgefield              3- 5      -2     1    -     -3.26
   514 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      11- 1      10     2    +++    7.77
   423 H Trumbull               10- 2       8   -12    +++        
   520 A Danbury                10- 3       7    -1    +++        
   421 H Hall-West Hartford      9- 1       8     3    ++     4.11
   524 H Guilford               10- 1       9     3    ++     5.56
   406 H New Canaan              9-12      -3    -6    +      3.24
   409 A Greenwich               4-10      -6    -9    +      3.16
   414 H Wilton                  1- 7      -6    -9    +      3.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.29 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.99 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/